LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Skonto stadions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 39.4%
Draw 3.2%
Riga Win 57.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.44
Riga2.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Riga Riga
WLDWL
74 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
2.85
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
13
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 23 matches
Riga Riga 26 matches
Auda Statistic Riga
13 Wins 19
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
38 Goals For 74
27 Goals Against 29
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 2.85
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
13 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 23
5 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Riga. Riga look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Auda Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 38 points from 19 games, Auda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 36:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vergara (15 goals), E. Daskevics (4 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), J. Vergara (4 assists), W. Fofana (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 48 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 15 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 60:19 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on M. Badamosi (13 goals), D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), S. Oulad M'Hand (6 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 1 times, Riga won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:37 from Auda's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 1, draws 2, Riga wins 12
Last matches: Auda
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
Last matches: Riga
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
H2H: Auda vs Riga
12.05.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
L
20.03.26
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
17.02.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
6
0
L
27.06.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
L
05.05.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
L
10.03.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
2
2
D
26.06.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
16.03.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
1
L
21.08.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
4
L
08.07.23
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L
Last matches: Auda
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
20.03.26
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
27.06.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
L
05.05.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
L
14.09.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
2
2
D
05.05.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
30.09.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
1
L
21.08.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
4
L
Last matches: Riga
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
20.03.26
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
W
27.06.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
W
05.05.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
W
14.09.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
2
2
D
05.05.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
1
W
21.08.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
4
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 16 1 2 48:14 34 49
W L W W W
2
Riga Away
19 15 3 1 60:19 41 48
W W W W W
3
Auda Home
19 12 2 5 36:23 13 38
W L D W W
4 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
L L W W D
5 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
W D D D L
6 19 6 3 10 19:27 -8 21
L D L L L
7 19 4 7 8 17:34 -17 19
W L D D D
8 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
L W D L L
9 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
L W L L D
10 19 1 4 14 16:48 -32 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga