Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73%
|
1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.67 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Atletico Nacional
Junior
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
38 matches
Junior
40 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 16 |
| 3 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 15 |
| 70 | Goals For | 57 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 6.15 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 16.29 | Total Shots | 13.23 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Nacional expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Junior in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Junior having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Nacional come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Junior. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Atletico Nacional come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on A. Morelos (13 goals), J. Rengifo (7 goals), A. Sarmiento (7 goals), with creative support from J. Rengifo (7 assists), A. Morelos (6 assists), A. Sarmiento (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Junior arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 35 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 31:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Muriel (14 goals), T. Gutiérrez (7 goals), C. Barrios (5 goals), with creative support from G. Paiva (5 assists), Y. Súarez (4 assists), T. Gutiérrez (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 4 times, Junior won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 2 |
Junior
Away
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|