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BRAZIL › SERIE A
26.04.2026 23:30
Arena MRV
Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
Atletico-MG
Match Timeline
Flamengo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Pedro · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
🟨
26'
Guillermo Varela
Flamengo
⚽
31'
Gonzalo Plata · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
⚽
45+1'
Giorgian de Arrascaeta · Assist: Guillermo Varela
Flamengo
🟨
45+3'
Samuel Lino
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Alan Franco ↔ Tomás Pérez
Atletico-MG
🔄
46'
Bernard ↔ Alan Minda
Atletico-MG
🟨
48'
Tomás Pérez
Atletico-MG
🔄
73'
Jorginho ↔ Saúl Ñíguez
Flamengo
🔄
73'
Samuel Lino ↔ Luiz Araújo
Flamengo
🔄
74'
Tomás Cuello ↔ Dudu
Atletico-MG
🔄
74'
Maycon ↔ Gustavo Scarpa
Atletico-MG
🔄
82'
Alex Sandro ↔ Ayrton Lucas
Flamengo
🔄
82'
Giorgian de Arrascaeta ↔ Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
⚽
84'
Pedro · Assist: Evertton Araujo
Flamengo
VAR
86'
Pedro
Flamengo
🔄
86'
Leo Pereira ↔ Vitão
Flamengo

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
60.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 38.1%
Draw 13.6%
Flamengo Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.04
Flamengo1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
8
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 12 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 13 matches
Atletico-MG Statistic Flamengo
4 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 2
14 Goals For 26
15 Goals Against 11
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 5.54
13.92 Total Shots 15.38
5.33 Corners 4.23
51% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 4 times, Flamengo won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-4-2 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Atletico-MG 2, Flamengo 1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 4, draws 2, Flamengo wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B