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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
14.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera

Real Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 69%
Draw 10%
Bogota FC Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca1.17
Bogota FC0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
33 GF / 30 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WLDWL
28 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
15
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 27 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 34 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Bogota FC
9 Wins 9
9 Draws 12
9 Losses 13
33 Goals For 28
30 Goals Against 37
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Real Cundinamarca's more proactive style and Bogota FC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Real Cundinamarca come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bogota FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Cundinamarca are currently 9 in the standings with 36 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:29 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 8 with 38 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 28:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 1 times, Bogota FC won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 1, draws 4, Bogota FC wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 33 9 12 12 28:35 -7 39
D D L W D
9 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
10 27 9 8 10 30:34 -4 35
D L L L W
11 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)