Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
47.4%
|
1.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jaguares
30 matches
Deportes Tolima
48 matches
| Jaguares | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 19 |
| 7 | Draws | 14 |
| 17 | Losses | 15 |
| 31 | Goals For | 57 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 10.9 | Total Shots | 13.08 |
| 4.03 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 56.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Jaguares's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Jaguares have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportes Tolima. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportes Tolima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 31 points while Jaguares sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Jaguares approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 19 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 20:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Rentería (10 goals), D. López (5 goals), C. Álvarez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rentería (3 assists), C. Álvarez (3 assists), D. Rodríguez (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportes Tolima sit 6 with 31 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 27:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Sandoval (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), A. Parra (5 goals), with creative support from L. Sandoval (4 assists), Juan Torres (4 assists), S. Guzmán (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares won 1 times, Deportes Tolima won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:28 from Jaguares's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Jaguares
Home
|
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|