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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
14.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Romelio Martinez
Referee: Steven Camargo

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Junior Win 58.6%
Draw 15%
Deportivo Pereira Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Junior1.49
Deportivo Pereira1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Junior Junior
WWDLW
59 GF / 59 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
22 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
23
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
14
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Junior Junior 42 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 30 matches
Junior Statistic Deportivo Pereira
16 Wins 2
9 Draws 12
17 Losses 16
59 Goals For 22
59 Goals Against 49
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
23 BTTS Yes 13
34 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 16
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.27
13.36 Total Shots 8.9
4.69 Corners 2.67
51.7% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Junior's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Junior expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pereira. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Junior arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Junior Analysis

Junior approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 31:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Muriel (15 goals), T. Gutiérrez (8 goals), G. Paiva (5 goals), with creative support from G. Paiva (5 assists), Y. Súarez (4 assists), T. Gutiérrez (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 19 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Quiñones (5 goals), J. Monroy (4 goals), M. Pérez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Quiñones (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), W. Pacheco (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Junior 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pereira 4-4-2

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
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