Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Barcelona Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.65
Barcelona2.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
27 GF / 17 GA
Barcelona
WLDWL
53 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
3.53
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
12
6.22
Shots on Goal
8.38
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
13 matches
Barcelona
15 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 27 | Goals For | 53 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 2.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.53 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6.22 | Shots On Goal | 8.38 |
| 16.67 | Total Shots | 21.75 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 7 |
| 58.1% | Ball Possession | 68.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, Barcelona won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Barcelona 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 3, draws 1, Barcelona wins 11
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Away
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
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