Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
80%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atlanta United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlanta United FC
24 matches
Sporting Kansas City
26 matches
| Atlanta United FC | Statistic | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 12 | Losses | 16 |
| 31 | Goals For | 24 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.12 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 12.55 | Total Shots | 9.55 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 43.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Kansas City. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sporting Kansas City in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Kansas City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 15 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Atlanta United FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 21:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), Miguel Almirón (2 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (3 assists), Saba Lobzhanidze (1 assists), Elías Báez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats with a 18:46 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, Sporting Kansas City won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 63 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 18 | 49 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 11 | 48 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 6 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 11 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | -15 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | -14 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | -7 | 36 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 33 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 30 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Home
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 27 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|