ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 42.1%
Draw 12.4%
Arsenal Sarandi Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo0.87
Arsenal Sarandi1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
30 GF / 32 GA
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WLDWL
39 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
11
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 31 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 30 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Arsenal Sarandi
10 Wins 14
9 Draws 11
12 Losses 5
30 Goals For 39
32 Goals Against 22
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
11 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arsenal Sarandi's more proactive style and Argentino de Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Arsenal Sarandi carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 53 points while Argentino de Merlo sit 11 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Argentino de Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Sarandi having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Sarandi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo sit 11 with 38 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 29:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Placed 3 with 53 points from 29 outings, Arsenal Sarandi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, while the 39:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 0 times, Arsenal Sarandi won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 0, draws 0, Arsenal Sarandi wins 1
Last matches: Argentino de Merlo
15.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Talleres Remedios
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
1
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
2
2
D
14.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Flandria
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
28.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Comunicaciones
3
2
W
21.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Dock Sud
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
2
2
D
06.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Liniers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Real Pilar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
UAI Urquiza
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
Last matches: Arsenal Sarandi
15.08.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
31.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Defensores Unidos
3
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Dock Sud
0
0
D
21.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
4
2
W
13.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Camioneros
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Sportivo Italiano
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
San Martín Burzaco
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa San Carlos
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Liniers
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Real Pilar
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa Dalmine
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Excursionistas
1
0
W
H2H: Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi
10.04.26
H2H
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino de Merlo
3
0
L
Last matches: Argentino de Merlo
15.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
1
3
L
18.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
3
0
W
28.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Comunicaciones
3
2
W
21.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Dock Sud
3
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Liniers
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
UAI Urquiza
0
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Flandria
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
10.12.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
4
0
W
16.11.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
2
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa Dalmine
3
1
W
03.10.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Fénix
1
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal Sarandi
09.08.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
14.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Comunicaciones
2
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Camioneros
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
San Martín Burzaco
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Flandria
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Liniers
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Excursionistas
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Talleres Remedios
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Brown DE Adrogue
4
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Arsenal Sarandi
Dock Sud
1
1
D

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 45:23 22 56
W L W D D
2 30 16 8 6 33:15 18 56
W L D W W
3 30 15 10 5 35:18 17 55
D W D W W
4 30 15 10 5 33:16 17 55
W L W D D
5 30 14 11 5 39:22 17 53
L D D D W
6 30 14 10 6 36:22 14 52
W W D D W
7 30 12 9 9 33:31 2 45
D D W W L
8 30 12 8 10 33:33 0 44
W W L D D
9 30 11 9 10 36:39 -3 42
L D W L W
10 30 10 10 10 31:29 2 40
D L D L W
11 30 10 9 11 30:30 0 39
D W L L D
12 30 9 11 10 33:45 -12 38
D L D L D
13 30 8 13 9 28:30 -2 37
D L D L L
14 30 8 13 9 26:28 -2 37
W D D D D
15 30 8 12 10 32:31 1 36
L W D D W
16 30 7 11 12 29:35 -6 32
W W D W L
17 30 7 11 12 21:30 -9 32
L W D D D
18 30 7 10 13 19:31 -12 31
L W D W L
19 30 7 8 15 23:36 -13 29
D D L D L
20 30 3 18 9 14:25 -11 27
L D D D L
21 30 5 11 14 24:36 -12 26
L L L D D
22 30 1 10 19 19:47 -28 13
D L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)