URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luis Franzini
Referee: H. Heras
Albion FC
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
A. Lopez
Albion FC
17'
C. Airala · Assist: A. Lopez
Albion FC
32'
J. De Los Santos
Club Nacional
43'
A. Lopez · Assist: C. Airala
Albion FC
🔄
46'
F. Bais ↔ A. Rogel
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
J. Pintado ↔ B. Barcia
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
T. Veron ↔ M. Gomez
Club Nacional
🟨
51'
J. Alvarez
Albion FC
🟨
55'
E. Ancheta
Club Nacional
🔄
61'
S. Costa ↔ M. de los Santos
Albion FC
🔄
61'
J. Alvarez ↔ F. Puente
Albion FC
🔄
61'
A. Lopez ↔ T. Figueroa
Albion FC
🔄
62'
P. Nunez ↔ G. Carneiro
Club Nacional
🟨
69'
T. Viera
Club Nacional
🔄
75'
H. Toledo ↔ B. Acosta
Albion FC
🔄
79'
J. De Los Santos ↔ B. Arady
Club Nacional
80'
A. Rogel
Club Nacional
🟨
83'
C. Airala
Albion FC
🔄
87'
C. Airala ↔ P. Alcoba
Albion FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Albion FC Win 47.6%
Draw 16.1%
Club Nacional Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albion FC1.61
Club Nacional1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albion FC Albion FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 14 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
26 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albion FC Albion FC 13 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 16 matches
Albion FC Statistic Club Nacional
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
22 Goals For 26
14 Goals Against 24
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 10.33
0 Corners 6
0% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Nacional. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Club Nacional arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 13 matches. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:14, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Lopez (10 goals), C. Airala (3 goals), F. Ginella (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Club Nacional Analysis

With 19 points from 13 games and a place of 8, Club Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 20:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gomez (7 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), N. Lopez (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Albion FC won 1 times, Club Nacional won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Albion FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Albion FC - / Club Nacional 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Albion FC wins 1, draws 0, Club Nacional wins 3

Lineups

Albion FC
Formation
Club Nacional
S. Jaume
S. Jaume
A. Romero
A. Romero
F. Couture
F. Couture
E. Burdin
E. Burdin
J. Alvarez
J. Alvarez
F. Ginella
F. Ginella
T. Moschion
T. Moschion
S. Costa
S. Costa
C. Airala
🎯
C. Airala
A. Lopez
⚽ 2 🎯
A. Lopez
H. Toledo
H. Toledo
I. Suarez
I. Suarez
J. Pintado
J. Pintado
P. Calione
P. Calione
T. Viera
T. Viera
F. Bais
F. Bais
T. Veron
T. Veron
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
A. Dos Santos
A. Dos Santos
J. De Los Santos
J. De Los Santos
M. Silvera
M. Silvera
P. Nunez
P. Nunez
Albion FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Jaume
25
A. Romero
2
F. Couture
24
E. Burdin
16
J. Alvarez
↓ 61' 🟨 51'
5
F. Ginella
6
T. Moschion
27
S. Costa
↓ 61'
10
C. Airala
⚽ 17' 🎯 43' ↓ 87' 🟨 83'
9
A. Lopez
⚽ 8' ⚽ 43' 🎯 17' ↓ 61'
11
H. Toledo
↓ 75'
Substitutes
31
D. Lerda
13
P. Lacoste
17
M. de los Santos
↑ 61'
34
A. Pereira
29
F. Puente
↑ 61'
21
L. Rodriguez Trezza
15
P. Alcoba
↑ 87'
79
N. Roldan
30
B. Acosta
↑ 75'
32
T. Figueroa
↑ 61'
Club Nacional 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
I. Suarez
5
J. Pintado
↓ 46'
15
P. Calione
32
T. Viera
🟨 69'
34
F. Bais
↓ 46'
27
T. Veron
↓ 46'
23
L. Rodriguez
10
A. Dos Santos
19
J. De Los Santos
⚽ 32' ↓ 79'
11
M. Silvera
18
P. Nunez
↓ 62'
Substitutes
1
L. Mejia
2
A. Rogel
⚽ 80' ↑ 46'
56
J. I. Garcia Lantean
13
E. Ancheta
🟨 55'
35
R. Clematte
39
L. Gonzalez
30
B. Barcia
↑ 46'
26
B. Arady
↑ 79'
20
G. Carneiro
↑ 62'
9
M. Gomez
↑ 46'
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
H2H: Albion FC vs Club Nacional
23.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
L
03.05.26
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
13.10.22
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
0
L
Last matches: Albion FC
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Albion FC
03.05.26
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
13.10.22
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
0
0
D
12.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
CA River Plate
3
0
W
H2H away: Club Nacional
03.05.26
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
L
13.10.22
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
W