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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
16.10.2026 13:15
Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win 84%
Draw 5.1%
Abha Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.93
Abha0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWDLW
21 GF / 9 GA
Abha Abha
WLDWL
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
6.25
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 10 matches
Abha Abha 9 matches
Al-Qadisiyah FC Statistic Abha
6 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 6
21 Goals For 6
9 Goals Against 15
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
6.25 Shots On Goal 3.29
14.75 Total Shots 9.86
6.25 Corners 2.86
57.3% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Al-Qadisiyah FC's more proactive style and Abha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Qadisiyah FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to Abha in 18 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Qadisiyah FC expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Abha in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Abha having the stronger overall control. Al-Qadisiyah FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Abha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al-Qadisiyah FC Analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 16 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Retegui (4 goals), Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (3 goals), J. Quiñones (3 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (3 assists), C. Bonsu Baah (2 assists), Musab Al Juwayr (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Abha Analysis

Abha sit 18 with 2 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 5:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 goals), A. Gory (1 goals), N. Fekir (1 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 0 times, Abha won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Al-Qadisiyah FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2 / Abha 4-5-1
H2H summary: Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 0, draws 2, Abha wins 0

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18
Abha Away
7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1