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11.10.2026 13:40
Al Majma’a Sport City

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 39.2%
Odds 3.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
39.2%
3.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.95 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.9%
1.29 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Fayha Win 34%
Draw 39.2%
Al Riyadh Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Fayha1.32
Al Riyadh1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
WWDLW
7 GF / 20 GA
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
WLDWL
10 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
4
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 10 matches
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 8 matches
Al-Fayha Statistic Al Riyadh
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
7 Goals For 10
20 Goals Against 18
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
4 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
4.29 Shots On Goal 2.71
11.57 Total Shots 10.14
2.71 Corners 2.71
45.3% Ball Possession 37.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al Riyadh. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Fayha expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Al Riyadh in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Riyadh having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al-Fayha Analysis

So far, Al-Fayha have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 6 points from 7 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lázaro (2 goals), Hugo Moura (2 goals), F. Sakala (1 goals), with creative support from Lázaro (1 assists), Ahmed Bamasud (1 assists), Nawaf Al-Harthi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Riyadh Analysis

Al Riyadh sit 11 with 8 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Okou (3 goals), R. Abascal (1 goals), Trézéguet (1 goals), with creative support from R. Abascal (1 assists), Trézéguet (1 assists), Bernard Mensah (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fayha won 4 times, Al Riyadh won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Al-Fayha's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.3%)
Predicted formations: Al-Fayha 4-1-4-1 / Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al-Fayha wins 4, draws 3, Al Riyadh wins 0

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D W W W
2 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
3 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
4 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
5 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
6 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
7 8 3 3 2 12:15 -3 12
L L W D W
8 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
16 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
17 8 0 3 5 4:15 -11 3
L L L D D
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1