SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Referee: G. Cid
AD Ceuta FC
Match Timeline
Albacete
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
M. Fernandez Sanchez · Assist: A. Bassinga
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
46'
Youness Lachhab
AD Ceuta FC
VAR
50'
Marcos Fernández
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
55'
Anuar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
70'
J. Moreno ↔ M. Fernandez
Albacete
🔄
70'
J. Villar ↔ A. Rubio
Albacete
🔄
70'
A. Pacheco ↔ F. Garcia
Albacete
🔄
75'
Jamelli ↔ S. Sanchez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
75'
K. Kone ↔ A. Betancourt
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
81'
Pepe ↔ Lorenzo
Albacete
🔄
83'
A. Bassinga ↔ C. Hernandez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
90+1'
Youness ↔ Josema
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
90+1'
Anuar ↔ A. Rueda
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
90+2'
A. Melendez ↔ J. Vallejo
Albacete

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AD Ceuta FC Win 28.8%
Draw 6.7%
Albacete Win 64.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
AD Ceuta FC1.26
Albacete1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WWDLW
52 GF / 64 GA
Albacete Albacete
WLDWL
67 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
23
BTTS Yes
28
23
Over 2.5
26
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 43 matches
Albacete Albacete 46 matches
AD Ceuta FC Statistic Albacete
17 Wins 19
10 Draws 12
16 Losses 15
52 Goals For 67
64 Goals Against 61
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
23 BTTS Yes 28
32 Over 1.5 34
23 Over 2.5 26
11 Over 3.5 14
12 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 8
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.15
10.33 Total Shots 12.35
3.9 Corners 4.8
49.2% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AD Ceuta FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Albacete in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Albacete having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Albacete. Albacete look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

AD Ceuta FC Analysis

From their first 40 matches, AD Ceuta FC have collected 55 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 48:63 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Fernandez Sanchez (13 goals), Kuki Zalazar (6 goals), Jamelli (5 goals), with creative support from Kuki Zalazar (4 assists), K. Kone (4 assists), Jose Matos (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete are currently 11 in the standings with 56 points from 40 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, while the 53:53 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Jefté Betancor (13 goals), A. Puertas (8 goals), J. Morcillo (8 goals), with creative support from J. Morcillo (5 assists), F. Gamez (5 assists), A. Puertas (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, AD Ceuta FC won 1 times, Albacete won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from AD Ceuta FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: AD Ceuta FC 4-2-3-1 / Albacete 4-4-2
H2H summary: AD Ceuta FC wins 1, draws 1, Albacete wins 0
Stats
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Albacete Albacete
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
501 Total passes 316
450 Passes accurate 253
1.19 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
Formation
Albacete
P. Lopez
P. Lopez
A. Ahmed
A. Ahmed
A. Caparros
A. Caparros
Y. Bodiger
Y. Bodiger
Anuar
Anuar
Jamelli
Jamelli
Youness
Youness
M. Illescas
M. Illescas
A. Bassinga
🎯
A. Bassinga
M. Fernandez Sanchez
M. Fernandez Sanchez
K. Kone
K. Kone
D. Marino
D. Marino
J. Moreno
J. Moreno
Pepe
Pepe
L. Lopez
L. Lopez
C. Neva
C. Neva
Jogo
Jogo
J. Villar
J. Villar
A. Melendez
A. Melendez
A. Pacheco
A. Pacheco
S. Obeng
S. Obeng
J. Betancor
J. Betancor
AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
P. Lopez
G
7
A. Ahmed
D
4
A. Caparros
D
14
Y. Bodiger
D
23
Anuar
↓ 90+1' 🟨 55'
D
19
Jamelli
↓ 75'
M
5
Youness
↓ 90+1' 🟨 46'
M
12
M. Illescas
M
26
A. Bassinga
🎯 17' ↓ 83'
F
9
M. Fernandez Sanchez
⚽ 17'
F
22
K. Kone
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Vallejo
G
28
Peri
G
6
C. Hernandez
↑ 83'
D
2
M. Sanchez
D
30
Josema
↑ 90+1'
25
S. Sanchez
↑ 75'
F
11
I. Schor
F
24
Y. Cantero
D
34
A. Betancourt
↑ 75'
M
37
A. Rueda
↑ 90+1'
F
Albacete 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
D. Marino
G
5
J. Moreno
↓ 70'
D
23
Pepe
↓ 81'
D
22
L. Lopez
D
21
C. Neva
D
3
Jogo
D
18
J. Villar
↓ 70'
M
17
A. Melendez
↓ 90+2'
M
6
A. Pacheco
↓ 70'
M
20
S. Obeng
F
10
J. Betancor
F
Substitutes
36
A. Cantero
G
2
Lorenzo
↑ 81'
D
24
J. Vallejo
↑ 90+2'
D
15
F. Gamez
D
8
M. Fernandez
↑ 70'
M
19
A. Rubio
↑ 70'
F
39
F. Garcia
↑ 70'
F
Last matches: AD Ceuta FC
24.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
1
4
L
09.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
1
1
D
03.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
2
1
W
26.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
2
2
D
10.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
05.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
0
3
L
01.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
2
1
W
21.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
2
5
L
14.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
08.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
0
4
L
01.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
1
0
W
25.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
3
2
W
20.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
2
1
W
15.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
0
2
L
01.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
2
4
L
26.01.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
3
1
W
17.01.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
0
3
L
Last matches: Albacete
24.05.26
Seg
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
3
1
W
15.05.26
Seg
Albacete
Cordoba
2
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
2
1
W
01.05.26
Seg
Albacete
FC Andorra
1
0
W
24.04.26
Seg
Albacete
Eibar
0
3
L
19.04.26
Seg
Albacete
Granada CF
4
1
W
11.04.26
Seg
Albacete
Leganes
1
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
Albacete
Burgos
2
3
L
31.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Mirandes
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Castellón
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Racing Santander
4
0
W
16.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Las Palmas
2
1
W
07.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Huesca
0
0
D
27.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Almeria
1
1
D
22.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Malaga
0
1
L
15.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
1
1
D
08.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
03.02.26
Cop
Albacete
Barcelona
1
2
L
31.01.26
Seg
Albacete
Zaragoza
2
0
W
24.01.26
Seg
Albacete
Valladolid
1
0
W
H2H: AD Ceuta FC vs Albacete
30.05.26
H2H
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
1
0
W
12.10.25
H2H
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC
0
0
D
Last matches: AD Ceuta FC
16.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
1
4
L
09.05.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Castellón
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Racing Santander
0
0
D
10.04.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
28.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
2
1
W
14.03.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
25.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
3
2
W
20.02.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Granada CF
2
1
W
26.01.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Cultural Leonesa
3
1
W
17.01.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
0
3
L
04.01.26
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
FC Andorra
2
1
W
14.12.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
1
1
D
29.11.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
1
0
W
26.11.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Almeria
3
2
W
16.11.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Leganes
1
2
L
18.10.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Mirandes
2
0
W
03.10.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Eibar
1
0
W
21.09.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Zaragoza
1
0
W
07.09.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Huesca
2
1
W
23.08.25
Seg
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
0
1
L
H2H at home: AD Ceuta FC
30.05.26
H2H
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
1
0
W
Last matches: Albacete
15.05.26
Seg
Albacete
Cordoba
2
1
W
01.05.26
Seg
Albacete
FC Andorra
1
0
W
11.04.26
Seg
Albacete
Leganes
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Mirandes
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Racing Santander
4
0
W
07.03.26
Seg
Albacete
Huesca
0
0
D
22.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Malaga
0
1
L
08.02.26
Seg
Albacete
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
24.01.26
Seg
Albacete
Valladolid
1
0
W
10.01.26
Seg
Albacete
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
21.12.25
Seg
Albacete
Granada CF
1
1
D
08.12.25
Seg
Albacete
Burgos
1
0
W
04.12.25
Cop
Albacete
Leganes
2
1
W
21.11.25
Seg
Albacete
Las Palmas
1
2
L
08.11.25
Seg
Albacete
Eibar
2
3
L
28.10.25
Cop
Albacete
San Fernando CD
3
0
W
19.10.25
Seg
Albacete
Castellón
1
0
W
06.10.25
Seg
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
0
0
D
28.09.25
Seg
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
4
3
W
15.09.25
Seg
Albacete
Zaragoza
0
0
D
H2H away: Albacete
30.05.26
H2H
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
1
0
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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Relegation