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DENMARK › 1. DIVISION
30.05.2026 13:00
Aalborg Portland Park
Referee: P. Gammelholm
Aalborg
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
M. Westergren
Aalborg
🟨
36'
M. Jensen
HB Koge
🔄
46'
E. Semovski ↔ Mudi
HB Koge
🟨
53'
J. Adedeji
Aalborg
🔄
58'
W. Thomsen ↔ M. Kubel
Aalborg
🔄
60'
S. Hald ↔ G. Larsen
HB Koge
🔄
60'
M. Westergren ↔ L. Achton
HB Koge
🟨
64'
F. Borsting
Aalborg
🔄
71'
V. Moller ↔ M. Kaasa
Aalborg
🔄
71'
J. Adedeji ↔ K. Hansen
Aalborg
🔄
71'
A. Hapnes ↔ M. Bonde
Aalborg
🔄
73'
M. Jensen ↔ A. Gothler
HB Koge
🔄
81'
M. Rasmussen ↔ O. Engberg
HB Koge
🟨
83'
A. Jasson
Aalborg

Aalborg vs HB Koge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aalborg Win 38%
Draw 19.1%
HB Koge Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalborg1.56
HB Koge1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalborg Aalborg
WWDLW
49 GF / 47 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
42 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
18
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalborg Aalborg 31 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 31 matches
Aalborg Statistic HB Koge
11 Wins 11
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 13
49 Goals For 42
47 Goals Against 47
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
18 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Aalborg's more proactive style and HB Koge's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HB Koge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Aalborg Analysis

Aalborg come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 43 points from 31 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 49:47 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Helenius (10 goals), K. Hansen (9 goals), K. John (7 goals), with creative support from M. Nielsen (6 assists), K. John (5 assists), V. Moller (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

HB Koge Analysis

HB Koge approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 40 points after 30 outings. The return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 42:46, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gothler (9 goals), T. Thomsen (8 goals), C. Jensen Tue (7 goals), with creative support from T. Thomsen (3 assists), G. Larsen (3 assists), S. Larsen (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg won 9 times, HB Koge won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:6 from Aalborg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
H2H summary: Aalborg wins 9, draws 3, HB Koge wins 0

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round