BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Elindus Arena
Referee: B. Put
Zulte Waregem
Match Timeline
Dender
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Laurent Lemoine
Zulte Waregem
VAR
22'
Luc Marijnissen
Dender
25'
B. Goncalves
Dender
🟨
29'
Roman Kvet
Dender
41'
M. Ake
Zulte Waregem
VAR
45+4'
Bryan Goncalves
Zulte Waregem
🟨
45'
Luc De Fougerolles
Dender
45'
B. Goncalves
Zulte Waregem
🔄
46'
L. Lemoine ↔ J. Kiilerich
Zulte Waregem
🔄
46'
B. De Jaegere ↔ E. Lofolomo
Zulte Waregem
🟨
49'
Luc Marijnissen
Dender
🟨
52'
Krzysztof Koton
Dender
🔄
56'
T. Hedl ↔ A. Ementa
Zulte Waregem
🔄
60'
M. Viltard ↔ D. Toshevski
Dender
🔄
60'
M. Berte ↔ N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
Dender
🔄
60'
L. De Fougerolles ↔ A. Daali
Dender
🔄
60'
R. Kvet ↔ E. Lembi
Dender
🔄
66'
J. Vossen ↔ S. Gavriel
Zulte Waregem
🔄
70'
N. Rodes ↔ D. Acquah
Dender
🔄
76'
J. Opoku ↔ J. Erenbjerg
Zulte Waregem
🟨
84'
Desmond Acquah
Dender

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zulte Waregem Win 74.8%
Draw 0%
Dender Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zulte Waregem1.56
Dender1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
WWDLW
51 GF / 52 GA
Dender Dender
WLDWL
30 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
21
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
19
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 35 matches
Dender Dender 35 matches
Zulte Waregem Statistic Dender
12 Wins 5
9 Draws 10
14 Losses 20
51 Goals For 30
52 Goals Against 60
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
21 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 12
4.26 Shots On Goal 3.74
12.46 Total Shots 10.8
4.6 Corners 3.74
48.2% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dender. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zulte Waregem expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Dender in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dender having the stronger overall control. Zulte Waregem come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Zulte Waregem Analysis

So far, Zulte Waregem have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 32 points from 30 matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 38:47 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Erenbjerg (13 goals), J. Opoku (10 goals), M. Ake (7 goals), with creative support from Anosike Ementa (8 assists), J. Opoku (6 assists), J. Erenbjerg (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dender Analysis

Dender approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 19 points from 30 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 24:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruny Nsimba (9 goals), Aurélien Scheidler (8 goals), R. Kvet (5 goals), with creative support from Bruny Nsimba (4 assists), M. Sambu (4 assists), Aurélien Scheidler (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Zulte Waregem won 5 times, Dender won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Zulte Waregem's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Zulte Waregem 3-4-1-2 / Dender 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Zulte Waregem wins 5, draws 2, Dender wins 0
Stats
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
Dender Dender
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 2
8 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
418 Total passes 376
314 Passes accurate 263
2.69 expected_goals 2.10
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zulte Waregem
Formation
Dender
B. Gabriel
B. Gabriel
B. De Jaegere
B. De Jaegere
L. Lemoine
L. Lemoine
L. Willen
L. Willen
M. Ake
M. Ake
S. Ujka
S. Ujka
T. Claes
T. Claes
Y. Cappelle
Y. Cappelle
J. Opoku
J. Opoku
T. Hedl
T. Hedl
J. Vossen
J. Vossen
G. Dietsch
G. Dietsch
L. Marijnissen
L. Marijnissen
L. De Fougerolles
L. De Fougerolles
B. Goncalves
⚽ 2
B. Goncalves
M. Sambu
M. Sambu
N. Rodes
N. Rodes
M. Viltard
M. Viltard
R. Oratmangoen
R. Oratmangoen
K. Koton
K. Koton
M. Berte
M. Berte
R. Kvet
R. Kvet
Zulte Waregem 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
B. Gabriel
G
45
B. De Jaegere
↓ 46'
4
L. Lemoine
↓ 46' 🟨 17'
D
31
L. Willen
D
39
M. Ake
⚽ 41'
M
36
S. Ujka
M
8
T. Claes
M
55
Y. Cappelle
M
22
J. Opoku
↓ 76'
20
T. Hedl
↓ 56'
F
9
J. Vossen
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Bostyn
G
5
J. Kiilerich
↑ 46'
D
10
J. Erenbjerg
↑ 76'
F
40
D. Asare
M
58
S. Van Keymolen
M
6
E. Lofolomo
↑ 46'
M
11
S. Gavriel
↑ 66'
D
18
A. Ementa
↑ 56'
F
12
W. Paugain
D
Dender 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
30
G. Dietsch
G
5
L. Marijnissen
🟨 49'
D
44
L. De Fougerolles
↓ 60' 🟨 45'
D
7
B. Goncalves
⚽ 25' ⚽ 45'
D
70
M. Sambu
M
18
N. Rodes
↓ 70'
M
24
M. Viltard
↓ 60'
M
11
R. Oratmangoen
M
15
K. Koton
🟨 52'
F
90
M. Berte
↓ 60'
F
16
R. Kvet
↓ 60' 🟨 29'
F
Substitutes
34
M. Verrips
G
1
L. Fortin
G
9
D. Toshevski
↑ 60'
F
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
↑ 60'
D
23
D. Acquah
↑ 70' 🟨 84'
M
45
A. Daali
↑ 60'
M
46
E. Lembi
↑ 60'
D
60
O. Balde
M
Last matches: Zulte Waregem
27.06.26
Fri
Zulte Waregem
Racing Waregem
6
0
W
01.05.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
3
2
W
26.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
4
0
W
19.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
2
0
W
12.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
W
04.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
2
2
D
22.03.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Charleroi
1
0
W
13.03.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Gent
0
2
L
08.03.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
0
1
L
28.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
1
2
L
22.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Anderlecht
2
4
L
15.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
St. Truiden
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
0
W
31.01.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
24.01.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Club Brugge KV
3
4
L
17.01.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Genk
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Zulte Waregem
FC Sion
2
3
L
27.12.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Antwerp
1
2
L
20.12.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
13.12.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
2
2
D
Last matches: Dender
23.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
0
0
D
17.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
2
3
L
03.05.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
24.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
2
L
19.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
4
L
12.04.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
Dender
Gent
1
3
L
14.03.26
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
2
2
D
01.03.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
1
4
L
14.02.26
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
01.02.26
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
25.01.26
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
1
0
W
27.12.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
20.12.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
0
1
L
14.12.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
5
L
H2H: Zulte Waregem vs Dender
09.05.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
W
12.04.26
H2H
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Dender
Zulte Waregem
2
2
D
29.10.24
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Dender
Zulte Waregem
1
4
W
01.09.23
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
1
D
Last matches: Zulte Waregem
26.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
4
0
W
04.04.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
2
2
D
22.03.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Charleroi
1
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
0
1
L
22.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Anderlecht
2
4
L
07.02.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
0
W
31.01.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
17.01.26
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Genk
2
1
W
13.12.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
2
2
D
29.11.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
1
1
D
01.11.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise
1
4
L
19.10.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Gent
4
1
W
27.09.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Antwerp
2
0
W
13.09.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
2
0
W
23.08.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
St. Truiden
0
2
L
16.08.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
Club Brugge KV
0
1
L
26.07.25
Jup
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
H2H at home: Zulte Waregem
09.05.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
W
07.02.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
0
W
29.10.24
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
1
D
Last matches: Dender
17.05.26
Jup
Dender
Lommel United
2
3
L
24.04.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
1
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Dender
Cercle Brugge
0
0
D
14.02.26
Jup
Dender
OH Leuven
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Dender
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
25.01.26
Jup
Dender
Anderlecht
0
0
D
27.12.25
Jup
Dender
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
05.12.25
Jup
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
23.11.25
Jup
Dender
Antwerp
2
1
W
01.11.25
Jup
Dender
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
25.10.25
Jup
Dender
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
05.10.25
Jup
Dender
Genk
1
2
L
19.09.25
Jup
Dender
Gent
0
3
L
30.08.25
Jup
Dender
Charleroi
1
3
L
08.08.25
Jup
Dender
St. Truiden
0
2
L
02.08.25
Jup
Dender
Standard Liege
1
1
D
H2H away: Dender
09.05.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
L
07.02.26
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
0
L
29.10.24
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
2
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
Zulte Waregem
Dender
1
1
D

Standings

Pro League , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 13 9 14 53:53 0 48
W W W W W
2 36 10 11 15 53:58 -5 41
L L W W W
3 36 7 13 16 35:50 -15 34
W L L L L
4 36 5 10 21 31:62 -31 25
D L L W L
Relegation Playoffs