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BOSNIA › PREMIJER LIGA
19.09.2026 16:30
Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
Referee: I. Peljto
Zrinjski
Match Timeline
Velež
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
N. Bilbija · Assist: A. Ivancic
Zrinjski
🔄
37'
D. Lagumdzija ↔ M. Cavar
Zrinjski
🟨
48'
M. Abdallah
Velež
🟨
56'
A. Omerovic
Velež
🔄
59'
M. Cuze ↔ I. Vidovic
Zrinjski
⚽
60'
A. Ivancic · Assist: V. Grbic
Zrinjski
🔄
61'
A. Mesic ↔ L. Ignatov
Velež
🔄
70'
K. Djuliman ↔ D. Halilovic
Velež
🟨
82'
A. Ilic
Zrinjski
🔄
83'
S. Duranovic ↔ F. Dzevahiric
Velež
🔄
83'
M. Rahimic ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
86'
K. Abramovic ↔ M. Cuic
Zrinjski
🔄
86'
A. Ilic ↔ H. Ljukovac
Zrinjski
🔄
86'
N. Bilbija ↔ T. Juric
Zrinjski
🟨
88'
H. Ljukovac
Zrinjski

Zrinjski vs Velež Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.27 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.28 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Zrinjski Win 88%
Draw 6%
Velež Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zrinjski2.25
Velež0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zrinjski Zrinjski
WWDLW
46 GF / 11 GA
Velež Velež
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
8
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zrinjski Zrinjski 16 matches
Velež Velež 16 matches
Zrinjski Statistic Velež
13 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 7
46 Goals For 17
11 Goals Against 21
2.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
8 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Zrinjski's more proactive style and Velež's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Zrinjski come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Velež. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Velež having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Zrinjski arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to Velež in 9 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Zrinjski Analysis

Zrinjski come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 6 matches. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:4, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Velež Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 9, Velež still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zrinjski won 11 times, Velež won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Zrinjski's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Zrinjski wins 11, draws 2, Velež wins 1

Standings

Premier Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 17:5 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 15:7 8 19
W W W L W
3 8 4 1 3 6:5 1 13
W L L W W
4 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
D D W W L
5 8 2 3 3 10:11 -1 9
L D L L D
6 8 2 3 3 5:8 -3 9
L L D W D
7 8 2 2 4 11:12 -1 8
D W L D W
8 8 2 2 4 12:14 -2 8
D D W L L
9 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
L W L D L
10 8 0 4 4 12:19 -7 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation