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BRAZIL › SERIE C
15.06.2026 23:30
Referee: J. Pfleger
Ypiranga-RS
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
Renan Gorne
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
25'
Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🟨
28'
Ramon Vinicius
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
46'
Erick ↔ Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🟨
57'
Igor Maduro
Botafogo PB
🟨
59'
Nicolas
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Estevao ↔ Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Marcelinho ↔ Gustavo Simoes
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
67'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
74'
Renan Gorne ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
⚽
75'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟨
79'
Nene
Botafogo PB
⚽
81'
Danielzinho · Assist: Danielzinho
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
81'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟥
82'
Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
86'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
88'
Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
90+3'
R. Bastos ↔ Anderson Chaves
Botafogo PB

Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo PB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ypiranga-RS Win 60.5%
Draw 14.7%
Botafogo PB Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ypiranga-RS1.44
Botafogo PB1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 10 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 10 matches
Ypiranga-RS Statistic Botafogo PB
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
5 Losses 6
14 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 15
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo PB.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS sit 15 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Estevao (3 goals), Danielzinho (2 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (5 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Ypiranga-RS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Ypiranga-RS wins 0, draws 4, Botafogo PB wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation