JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Nissan Stadium
Referee: H. Shimizu
Yokohama F. Marinos
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
K. Tanimura · Assist: G. Onaiwu
Yokohama F. Marinos
27'
A. Watanabe
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
33'
Danilo Cardoso
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
42'
Danilo Cardoso ↔ T. Ushizawa
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
56'
R. Kato ↔ R. Miyaichi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
56'
Tevis ↔ J. Amano
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
56'
A. Higuchi ↔ K. Watanabe
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
68'
A. Watanabe ↔ Y. Torikai
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
Matheus Leiria ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
70'
G. Onaiwu ↔ J. Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
71'
M. Arai ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
73'
Kosei Suwama
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
78'
K. Sekitomi ↔ J. Quinones
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
86'
K. Tada ↔ S. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
88'
R. Yamane ↔ D. David
Yokohama F. Marinos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 66.1%
Draw 13.8%
Mito Hollyhock Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yokohama F. Marinos1.63
Mito Hollyhock1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WWDLW
20 GF / 25 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
18 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
6
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
3.15
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 14 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 14 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Statistic Mito Hollyhock
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
20 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 27
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
6 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
3.15 Shots On Goal 3.46
11 Total Shots 11.31
4.23 Corners 3.69
46.7% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mito Hollyhock. Yokohama F. Marinos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mito Hollyhock having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 15 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 20:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Tanimura (5 goals), J. Amano (4 goals), D. Tono (3 goals), with creative support from J. Croux (4 assists), K. Tanimura (2 assists), Riku Yamane (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock are currently 6 in the standings with 16 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 19:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Watanabe (3 goals), C. Kato (3 goals), K. Ando (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (3 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 0 times, Mito Hollyhock won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Yokohama F. Marinos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Yokohama F. Marinos 4-4-2 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: Yokohama F. Marinos wins 0, draws 2, Mito Hollyhock wins 1
Stats
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 8
8 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 3
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 16
3 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
275 Total passes 474
184 Passes accurate 374
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
Formation
Yokohama F. Marinos
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
T. Mase
T. Mase
Danilo Cardoso
Danilo Cardoso
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
S. Omori
S. Omori
Matheus Leiria
Matheus Leiria
T. Semba
T. Semba
K. Osaki
K. Osaki
M. Arai
M. Arai
K. Tada
K. Tada
A. Watanabe
A. Watanabe
Park Il-gyu
Park Il-gyu
R. Kato
R. Kato
T. Deng
T. Deng
K. Suwama
K. Suwama
K. Sekitomi
K. Sekitomi
R. Yamane
R. Yamane
A. Higuchi
A. Higuchi
G. Onaiwu
🎯
G. Onaiwu
Tevis
Tevis
H. Asada
H. Asada
K. Tanimura
K. Tanimura
Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
25
T. Mase
D
2
Danilo Cardoso
↓ 42' 🟨 33'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
7
S. Omori
D
70
Matheus Leiria
↓ 68'
M
19
T. Semba
M
3
K. Osaki
M
14
M. Arai
↓ 71'
M
29
K. Tada
↓ 86'
F
10
A. Watanabe
⚽ 27' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
11
Y. Torikai
↑ 68'
M
4
T. Ushizawa
↑ 42'
D
9
R. Nemoto
↑ 68'
F
20
Patryck
F
82
K. Kawakami
M
89
K. Sasaki
D
53
S. Yamashita
↑ 86'
M
33
K. Ando
↑ 71'
M
Yokohama F. Marinos 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Park Il-gyu
G
2
R. Kato
↓ 56'
D
44
T. Deng
D
33
K. Suwama
🟨 73'
D
35
K. Sekitomi
↓ 78'
D
28
R. Yamane
↓ 88'
M
29
A. Higuchi
↓ 56'
M
18
G. Onaiwu
🎯 5' ↓ 70'
M
19
Tevis
↓ 56'
M
46
H. Asada
M
9
K. Tanimura
⚽ 5'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Iikura
G
23
R. Miyaichi
↑ 56'
F
11
J. Croux
↑ 70'
F
40
J. Amano
↑ 56'
M
17
J. Quinones
↑ 78'
D
6
K. Watanabe
↑ 56'
M
26
D. David
↑ 88'
F
32
Y. Tanaka
M
49
K. Murakami
D
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
6
0
W
16.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
3
2
W
25.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
3
2
W
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
05.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
5
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
0
1
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
1
L
06.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kanazawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
H2H: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
02.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
L
10.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
16.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kanazawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Yokohama F. Marinos
02.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
10.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
H2H away: Mito Hollyhock
02.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
10.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)