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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
13.10.2026 18:45
Racecourse Ground

Wrexham vs West Brom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wrexham Win 32.8%
Draw 8.5%
West Brom Win 58.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wrexham0.93
West Brom1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wrexham Wrexham
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
West Brom West Brom
WLDWL
23 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wrexham Wrexham 10 matches
West Brom West Brom 12 matches
Wrexham Statistic West Brom
3 Wins 8
5 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
10 Goals For 23
12 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
5 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.75
10.88 Total Shots 9.88
4.75 Corners 4.88
48.4% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by West Brom's more proactive style and Wrexham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward West Brom having the stronger overall control. West Brom carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 14 points while Wrexham sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors West Brom. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wrexham Analysis

With 10 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Wrexham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 9:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Moore (2 goals), Daniel Edward Peter Imray (1 goals), C. Doyle (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Edward Peter Imray (1 assists), B. Whiteman (1 assists), L. O'Brien (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

West Brom Analysis

West Brom arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Price (2 goals), A. Heggebø (2 goals), J. Morgan (2 goals), with creative support from J. Morgan (3 assists), I. Price (1 assists), Harry Whitwell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham won 0 times, West Brom won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Wrexham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Wrexham 3-4-2-1 / West Brom -
H2H summary: Wrexham wins 0, draws 1, West Brom wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One