07.10.2026 15:00
York Lions Stadium

York United vs Supra du Quebec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds 2.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
2.80 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
York United Win 58.5%
Draw 12.9%
Supra du Quebec Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.69
Supra du Quebec1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
40 GF / 54 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
20
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
14
2.71
Shots on Goal
2.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 25 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 24 matches
York United Statistic Supra du Quebec
7 Wins 8
9 Draws 4
9 Losses 12
40 Goals For 36
54 Goals Against 44
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
20 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 14
15 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
2.71 Shots On Goal 2.79
6.63 Total Shots 9.04
1.88 Corners 2.71
25.7% Ball Possession 31.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Supra du Quebec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Supra du Quebec. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

York United Analysis

So far, York United have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 24 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 36:53 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Accettola (3 goals), T. Skublak (2 goals), O. Bassett (1 goals), with creative support from O. Bassett (2 assists), L. Accettola (1 assists), T. Skublak (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

With 25 points from 23 games and a place of 6, Supra du Quebec still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 31:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Rea (1 goals), M. Chretien (1 goals), L. Kwemi (1 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (1 assists), D. Abzi (1 assists), D. Choinière (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, York United won 0 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from York United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: York United 4-3-3 / Supra du Quebec 4-3-3
H2H summary: York United wins 0, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 1

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D