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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
29.08.2026 11:30
Molineux Stadium
Referee: Tom Nield, England
Wolves
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
S. Gallagher
Stoke City
🟨
15'
Jun-Ho Bae
Stoke City
⚽
19'
R. Gomes
Wolves
⚽
23'
R. Gomes
Wolves
🟨
31'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🟨
39'
Mateus Mané
Wolves
🟨
45'
Sam Gallagher
Stoke City
⚽
55'
R. Jimenez
Wolves
🔄
62'
Bae Jun-Ho ↔ M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🔄
73'
Andre ↔ B. Traore
Wolves
🔄
73'
R. Jimenez ↔ A. Armstrong
Wolves
🔄
74'
G. Hirst ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
🔄
77'
M. Munetsi ↔ T. Doyle
Wolves
🔄
77'
R. Gomes ↔ J. James
Wolves
🔄
83'
M. Mane ↔ T. Chirewa
Wolves
⚽
84'
J. James · Assist: F. Lopez
Wolves
🔄
85'
D. Soumare ↔ T. Rigo
Stoke City
🔄
85'
S. Gallagher ↔ T. Martin
Stoke City
🟨
90+3'
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City

Wolves vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 78.7%
Draw 10.6%
Stoke City Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.73
Stoke City0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 6 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 6 matches
Wolves Statistic Stoke City
4 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 8
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 2
17 Total Shots 10.5
4.5 Corners 3
55% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Wolves won 3 times, Stoke City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Wolves's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 7, Stoke City 5
H2H summary: Wolves wins 3, draws 3, Stoke City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
6 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
7 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
8 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
9 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
10 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One