West Ham
Match Timeline
Derby
West Ham vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.2%
|
1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.61 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.05 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
West Ham Win 59.2%
Draw 12.3%
Derby Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham1.73
Derby1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Ham
WWDLW
15 GF / 9 GA
Derby
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
West Ham
8 matches
Derby
10 matches
| West Ham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 15 | Goals For | 13 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 15.25 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 7.5 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 59.3% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, West Ham won 2 times, Derby won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from West Ham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: West Ham 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
Missing players: West Ham 1, Derby 5
H2H summary: West Ham wins 2, draws 0, Derby wins 1
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
West Ham
Home
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 |
Derby
Away
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One