West Brom vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom1.67
Derby0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
Derby
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.07
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
8
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
West Brom
13 matches
Derby
15 matches
| West Brom | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 16 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 10.33 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 5.78 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 1 times, Derby won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from West Brom's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.
Predicted formations: West Brom 4-4-2 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: West Brom wins 1, draws 4, Derby wins 8
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
West Brom
Home
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 23 |
Derby
Away
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One