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12.10.2026 14:00
Arab Contractors Stadium

El Mokawloon vs Masr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 50.2%
Draw 17.2%
Masr Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon1.12
Masr0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Masr Masr
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 5 matches
Masr Masr 5 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic Masr
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
6 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 5
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
3.8 Shots On Goal 3.6
8.4 Total Shots 11.4
3 Corners 4
41.6% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with El Mokawloon's more proactive style and Masr's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Masr. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Mokawloon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Masr in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Masr having the stronger overall control.

El Mokawloon Analysis

From their first 5 matches, El Mokawloon have collected 7 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mostafa Gamal (2 goals), Islam Gaber (1 goals), Omar Kamal (1 goals), with creative support from Islam Gaber (1 assists), Ahmed Magdy Kahraba (1 assists), Shady Hussein (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Masr Analysis

So far, Masr have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 4:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ahmed Atef (1 goals), Salah Mohsen (1 goals), Mahmoud Hamada (1 goals), with creative support from Ahmed Atef (1 assists), T. Alaa (1 assists), A. Ziani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 1 times, Masr won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / Masr 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 1, draws 4, Masr wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 9:1 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 8:1 7 13
W W W W D
3 5 4 1 0 9:3 6 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 10:3 7 12
W W W W L
5 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
W W L W D
6 5 3 1 1 6:3 3 10
W W W L D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D W L L
8 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
W W L L D
9 5 2 1 2 5:5 0 7
L D L W W
10
Masr Away
5 2 1 2 4:5 -1 7
W L W L D
11 5 1 3 1 5:5 0 6
L D D D W
12 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
13 5 2 0 3 4:7 -3 6
L W W L L
14 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L L D W D
15 5 1 1 3 6:9 -3 4
L W D L L
16 5 1 1 3 1:4 -3 4
W L L D L
17 5 1 0 4 1:8 -7 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
L L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 1:5 -4 2
L L L D D
20 5 0 1 4 1:9 -8 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)