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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
10.10.2026 11:30
The Hawthorns

West Brom vs Birmingham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 50.4%
Draw 12.2%
Birmingham Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom1.61
Birmingham1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom West Brom
WWDLW
23 GF / 10 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
23 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
10
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Brom West Brom 12 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 13 matches
West Brom Statistic Birmingham
8 Wins 6
2 Draws 6
2 Losses 1
23 Goals For 23
10 Goals Against 15
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.25
9.88 Total Shots 13.25
4.88 Corners 6
53% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Birmingham having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Birmingham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

West Brom Analysis

West Brom arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Price (2 goals), A. Heggebø (2 goals), J. Morgan (2 goals), with creative support from J. Morgan (3 assists), I. Price (1 assists), Harry Whitwell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Birmingham Analysis

So far, Birmingham have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Neumann (2 goals), Carlos Vicente (2 goals), L. Millar (1 goals), with creative support from L. Millar (3 assists), A. Cochrane (1 assists), A. Priske (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 6 times, Birmingham won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from West Brom's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: West Brom - / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: West Brom wins 6, draws 4, Birmingham wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One