ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Vicarage Road
Referee: M. Donohue
Watford
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
12'
I. Bravo
Watford
🟨
13'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
🟨
14'
Cyle Larin
Southampton
🟨
18'
James Bree
Southampton
🔄
24'
M. Bola ↔ J. Zemura
Watford
29'
A. Nabizada
Watford
🟨
43'
Amin Nabizada
Watford
56'
C. Larin · Assist: C. Bragg
Southampton
🔄
57'
L. Dobbin ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🔄
61'
I. Bravo ↔ M. Payero
Watford
🔄
61'
E. Bove ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
61'
A. Nabizada ↔ M. Adu Poku
Watford
🔄
70'
C. Bragg ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
70'
C. Larin ↔ D. Mubama
Southampton
🟨
72'
Mamadou Doumbia
Watford
🟨
74'
Othmane Maamma
Watford
🟨
74'
Flynn Downes
Southampton
🔄
77'
O. Maamma ↔ R. Vata
Watford
🟨
84'
Martín Payero
Watford
🔄
89'
K. Matsuki ↔ B. Brereton Diaz
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
2.07
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
1.77
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.6%
1.43
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 29.4%
Draw 4.8%
Southampton Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.17
Southampton1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 4 matches
Southampton Southampton 3 matches
Watford Statistic Southampton
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
6 Goals For 6
5 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 2 times, Southampton won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Watford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Watford 1, Southampton 0
H2H summary: Watford wins 2, draws 6, Southampton wins 7
Stats
Watford Watford
Southampton Southampton
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 8
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 6
11 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
266 Total passes 514
207 Passes accurate 451
0.81 expected_goals 1.71
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Southampton
F. Ravaglia
F. Ravaglia
O. H. Traore
O. H. Traore
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
K. Keben
K. Keben
M. Bola
M. Bola
E. Bove
E. Bove
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
A. Nabizada
A. Nabizada
I. Bravo
I. Bravo
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
M. Doumbia
M. Doumbia
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
J. Bree
J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
R. Manning
R. Manning
C. Bragg
🎯
C. Bragg
F. Downes
F. Downes
K. Matsuki
K. Matsuki
L. Scienza
L. Scienza
L. Dobbin
L. Dobbin
C. Larin
C. Larin
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Ravaglia
G
23
O. H. Traore
D
6
M. Pollock
🟨 13'
D
4
K. Keben
D
16
M. Bola
↓ 24'
D
8
E. Bove
↓ 61'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
🟨 8'
M
21
A. Nabizada
⚽ 29' ↓ 61' 🟨 43'
M
17
I. Bravo
⚽ 12' ↓ 61'
M
7
O. Maamma
↓ 77' 🟨 74'
M
20
M. Doumbia
🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
26
D. Bachmann
G
33
J. Zemura
↑ 24'
D
53
J. Clarridge
D
56
A. Eames
22
M. Payero
↑ 61' 🟨 84'
M
39
E. Kayembe
↑ 61'
M
11
R. Vata
↑ 77'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F
48
M. Adu Poku
↑ 61'
F
Southampton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Peretz
G
14
J. Bree
🟨 18'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
5
J. Stephens
D
3
R. Manning
D
26
C. Bragg
🎯 56' ↓ 70'
M
4
F. Downes
🟨 74'
M
27
K. Matsuki
↓ 89'
M
7
L. Scienza
M
11
L. Dobbin
↓ 57'
M
9
C. Larin
⚽ 56' ↓ 70' 🟨 14'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Long
G
34
Welington
D
15
N. Wood
D
10
F. Azaz
↑ 57'
M
18
T. Fellows
M
22
B. Brereton Diaz
↑ 89'
F
19
C. Archer
F
23
S. Edozie
↑ 70'
M
28
D. Mubama
↑ 70'
F
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
H2H: Watford vs Southampton
16.08.26
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
07.02.26
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
2
D
13.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
2
L
06.02.24
H2H
Southampton
Watford
3
0
L
28.01.24
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
0
D
13.03.22
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
2
W
30.10.21
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
28.06.20
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
3
L
30.11.19
H2H
Southampton
Watford
2
1
L
23.04.19
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
10.11.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
1
D
27.01.18
H2H
Southampton
Watford
1
0
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
16.08.26
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
2
D
28.01.24
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
0
D
30.10.21
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
28.06.20
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
3
L
23.04.19
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Southampton
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
2
L
H2H away: Southampton
16.08.26
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
1
L
30.08.25
H2H
Watford
Southampton
2
2
D
28.01.24
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
0
D
30.10.21
H2H
Watford
Southampton
0
1
W
28.06.20
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
3
W
23.04.19
H2H
Watford
Southampton
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 3.52
Draw 3.52
Away 2.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.99
Draw 2.36
Away 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Under 1.5 4.17
Over 2.25 1.56
Under 2.25 2.47
Over 2.5 1.77
Under 2.5 2.09
Over 2.75 1.97
Under 2.75 1.88
Over 3.5 2.86
Under 3.5 1.43
Over 3.0 2.29
Under 3.0 1.65
Over 4.5 5.28
Under 4.5 1.16
Over 3.25 2.58
Under 3.25 1.52
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 3.50
Draw 3.50
Away 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.75
Draw 2.30
Away 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 3.25
Draw 2.50
Away 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Under 1.5 4.33
Over 2.5 1.73
Under 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.44
Over 0.5 1.04
Under 0.5 12.00
Over 4.5 5.00
Under 4.5 1.17
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Under 5.5 1.06
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 3.42
Draw 3.48
Away 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.06
Draw 2.14
Away 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 3.56
Draw 2.57
Away 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Under 1.5 3.88
Over 1.75 1.25
Under 1.75 3.46
Over 2.0 1.31
Under 2.0 3.05
Over 2.25 1.55
Under 2.25 2.39
Over 2.5 1.75
Under 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 1.93
Under 2.75 1.84
Over 3.5 2.72
Under 3.5 1.36
Over 0.5 1.03
Under 0.5 10.80
Over 1.0 1.03
Under 1.0 8.20
Over 1.25 1.09
Under 1.25 5.36
Over 3.0 2.18
Under 3.0 1.58
Over 4.5 5.15
Under 4.5 1.10
Over 3.25 2.46
Under 3.25 1.44
Over 3.75 3.28
Under 3.75 1.25
Over 4.0 4.40
Under 4.0 1.14
Over 4.25 4.75
Under 4.25 1.12
Over 4.75 7.21
Under 4.75 1.05
Over 5.0 7.40
Under 5.0 1.05
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 9.10
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 3.50
Draw 3.45
Away 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.70
Draw 2.20
Away 2.48
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 3.50
Draw 2.63
Away 2.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Under 1.5 3.85
Over 2.0 1.37
Under 2.0 2.95
Over 2.25 1.58
Under 2.25 2.30
Over 2.5 1.79
Under 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.00
Under 2.75 1.76
Over 3.5 2.95
Under 3.5 1.37
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 10.50
Over 3.0 2.35
Under 3.0 1.55
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 4.5 1.12
Over 3.25 2.65
Under 3.25 1.44
Over 5.5 10.50
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 -4
L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One

Missing Players

Watford 1 missing
-
O. Maamma
Questionable Injury
OUT
Southampton 0 missing
No missing players data