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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
24.04.2026 18:45
Regional Sports Centre
Referee: P. Norton
Waterford
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Jordan Houston
Waterford
⚽
42'
K. Brouder · Assist: D. Hurley
Galway United
🔄
46'
C. Barrett ↔ D. McMenamy
Waterford
🔄
46'
L. Heeney ↔ E. McLaughlin
Waterford
🔄
64'
S. Glenfield ↔ C. Noonan
Waterford
🔄
65'
J. Houston ↔ T. Coyle
Waterford
🔄
65'
C. Carty ↔ T. Lonergan
Waterford
🔄
76'
E. McCarthy ↔ F. Lomboto
Galway United
🔄
76'
S. Walsh ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
76'
K. Twardek ↔ J. Keohane
Galway United
🟨
83'
David Hurley
Galway United
🔄
84'
M. Wolfe ↔ W. Williams
Galway United
🟨
85'
Evan Watts
Galway United
⚽
90'
D. McMenamy · Assist: K. Long
Waterford

Waterford vs Galway United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Waterford Win 27.7%
Draw 25.9%
Galway United Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford1.42
Galway United1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Waterford Waterford
WWDLW
21 GF / 33 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
10
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
2.82
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waterford Waterford 18 matches
Galway United Galway United 14 matches
Waterford Statistic Galway United
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
9 Losses 7
21 Goals For 17
33 Goals Against 25
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
10 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 5
2.82 Shots On Goal 3.91
11.64 Total Shots 11.82
5.18 Corners 3.82
41.1% Ball Possession 38.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Galway United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Waterford have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Galway United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 14 points while Waterford sit 10 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 4 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Lonergan (3 goals), P. Amond (2 goals), G. Facchineri (1 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), C. Noonan (1 assists), Evan McLaughlin (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Galway United Analysis

So far, Galway United have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:14 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Twardek (5 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), F. Pierrot (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (2 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 2 times, Galway United won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Waterford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.1%)
Predicted formations: Waterford 4-2-3-1 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Waterford wins 2, draws 5, Galway United wins 8

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation