NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE

04.09.2026 18:00

Waalwijk

4 - 2

NAC Breda

Mandemakers Stadion

Referee: D. Higler

Waalwijk

Match Timeline

NAC Breda

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Waalwijk vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 57.1%

Odds 2.25

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds 1.44

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds 1.48

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	57.1%	2.25	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	1.44	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.48	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.19	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.00	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	9.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Waalwijk Win 33.3%

Draw 9.6%

NAC Breda Win 57.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Waalwijk1.48

NAC Breda1.4

Recent Form (Last 5)

Waalwijk

WWDLW

16 GF / 15 GA

NAC Breda

WLDWL

15 GF / 17 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

1.5

1.25

Average Goals Conceded

1.7

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Waalwijk 12 matches

NAC Breda 10 matches

Waalwijk	Statistic	NAC Breda
2	Wins	5
8	Draws	1
2	Losses	4
16	Goals For	15
15	Goals Against	17
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
1.25	Avg Goals Conceded	1.7
9	BTTS Yes	7
11	Over 1.5	9
6	Over 2.5	7
3	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	0
2	Failed To Score	3
6	Shots On Goal	5.5
15.25	Total Shots	22.25
3	Corners	7.25
53.5%	Ball Possession	62.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk won 6 times, NAC Breda won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:25 from Waalwijk's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)

Predicted formations: Waalwijk 4-2-3-1 / NAC Breda 4-4-2

H2H summary: Waalwijk wins 6, draws 1, NAC Breda wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	19	25	W D W L W
2	Almere City FC	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22	W W L W W
3	VVV Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	12	21	W W L W W
4	Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	4	19	W D W L L
5	NAC Breda Away	10	5	2	3	20:19	1	17	W D W W L
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16	D L W D W
7	MVV	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16	L L W L L
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	5	15	W L W L W
9	Waalwijk Home	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14	L D L W W
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14	L D L W L
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13	L W D L W
12	Jong PSV U21	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13	D L D L W
13	FC OSS	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12	W W L W L
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11	W D L W L
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11	L D L W W
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11	W D W L W
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9	L D L L W
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8	L D L L W
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8	L D W L L
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7	L L W W D

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