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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
10.10.2026 14:00
David Petriashvili Stadium

Rustavi vs Dila Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 55.8%
Draw 5.4%
Dila Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.23
Dila1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Dila Dila
WLDWL
41 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
17
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
17
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 34 matches
Dila Dila 31 matches
Rustavi Statistic Dila
15 Wins 13
9 Draws 4
10 Losses 14
41 Goals For 41
34 Goals Against 39
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 17
3 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.5
3.33 Total Shots 3.83
3.81 Corners 3.93
45.4% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dila. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rustavi expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dila in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dila having the stronger overall control.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 46 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dila Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 40 points from 27 games, Dila bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a 38:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 3 times, Dila won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Rustavi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi 4-3-3 / Dila 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 3, draws 5, Dila wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
2 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 27 14 4 9 38:30 8 46
L W W W L
5
Dila Away
27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2