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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
19.09.2026 14:00
FT
0 - 2
Lemonsoft Stadion
Referee: Matti Roth
VPS
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
Tommi Jyry
KuPS
⚽
35'
Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye · Assist: Petteri Pennanen
KuPS
🟨
45'
Paulo Lima
VPS
🟨
56'
Miika Niemi
VPS
🟨
60'
Ayman Aiki
KuPS
🔄
62'
Ayman Aiki ↔ Kasim Adams
KuPS
🔄
62'
Petteri Pennanen ↔ Saikou Touray
KuPS
🟨
69'
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
🔄
70'
Brahima Magassa ↔ Taneli Hämäläinen
KuPS
🔄
72'
Paulo Lima ↔ Antti-Ville Raisanen
VPS
🔄
72'
Yassin Daoussi ↔ Xavier Odhiambo
VPS
🟨
77'
Lassana Mané
VPS
🔄
79'
Simon Lindholm ↔ Casper Holmelund
VPS
🔄
79'
Miika Niemi ↔ Joonas Vahtera
VPS
🔄
90'
Tommi Jyry ↔ Samuel Pasanen
KuPS
🟨
90+2'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS

VPS vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.60 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
VPS Win 34%
Draw 19.4%
KuPS Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
VPS1.11
KuPS1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
VPS VPS
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
50 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
15
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
12
1.5
Shots on Goal
2.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VPS VPS 28 matches
KuPS KuPS 35 matches
VPS Statistic KuPS
11 Wins 16
7 Draws 12
10 Losses 7
34 Goals For 50
28 Goals Against 34
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
15 BTTS Yes 19
16 Over 1.5 26
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 7
1.5 Shots On Goal 2.47
3.75 Total Shots 6.22
1.63 Corners 2.97
23.6% Ball Possession 30.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VPS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

VPS Analysis

VPS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 33 points from 22 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 29:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Smyth (3 goals), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Turfkruier (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

Placed 1 with 43 points from 22 outings, KuPS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 38:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), P. Parzyszek (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 0 times, KuPS won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from VPS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
Predicted formations: VPS 3-4-1-2 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VPS wins 0, draws 3, KuPS wins 2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L W D D L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6
VPS Home
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs