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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
11.10.2026 11:30
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Referee: Konrad Oldhafer

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.3%
Odds 3.05
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.3%
3.05 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
VfL Bochum Win 35.3%
Draw 16.5%
Arminia Bielefeld Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Bochum1.26
Arminia Bielefeld2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum
WWDLW
18 GF / 17 GA
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWL
42 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
3
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
12
4.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 15 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 14 matches
VfL Bochum Statistic Arminia Bielefeld
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
18 Goals For 42
17 Goals Against 19
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 0
4.83 Shots On Goal 4
17.5 Total Shots 13.5
6 Corners 6.17
54% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arminia Bielefeld. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Bochum expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Arminia Bielefeld in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arminia Bielefeld having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

VfL Bochum Analysis

So far, VfL Bochum have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Miyoshi (2 goals), T. Meyer (1 goals), P. Hofmann (1 goals), with creative support from T. Meyer (1 assists), M. Wittek (1 assists), E. Çokaj (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arminia Bielefeld Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld sit 13 with 5 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Grodowski (5 goals), M. Wörl (2 goals), J. Rochelt (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kersken (1 assists), H. Koudossou (1 assists), L. Jensen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfL Bochum won 3 times, Arminia Bielefeld won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from VfL Bochum's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1 / Arminia Bielefeld 4-4-2
H2H summary: VfL Bochum wins 3, draws 6, Arminia Bielefeld wins 6

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 17:7 10 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 16:6 10 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 1 1 14:12 2 13
D W W W L
4 6 3 2 1 15:8 7 11
W L D W W
5 6 3 2 1 6:4 2 11
W L W W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:9 2 10
D W L W W
7 6 2 2 2 14:13 1 8
D W D L L
8 6 1 4 1 8:8 0 7
D W D L D
9 6 2 1 3 5:6 -1 7
L D W L W
10 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W L D W L
11 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
D L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D D L W L
13 6 1 2 3 10:12 -2 5
D L D L W
14 6 1 2 3 6:12 -6 5
L L D L D
15 6 1 1 4 12:13 -1 4
L D L L L
16 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L D L D
17 6 1 1 4 8:14 -6 4
L D L L W
18 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
L W L L L
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