VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VfB Stuttgart
45 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
44 matches
| VfB Stuttgart | Statistic | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 15 | Losses | 11 |
| 87 | Goals For | 82 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 6.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 16.07 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 58.5% | Ball Possession | 57.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bayer Leverkusen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfB Stuttgart expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bayer Leverkusen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bayer Leverkusen having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Bayer Leverkusen look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
VfB Stuttgart arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 58 points after 32 matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 66:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Deniz Undav (18 goals), Ermedin Demirović (11 goals), C. Fuhrich (7 goals), with creative support from Jamie Leweling (9 assists), C. Fuhrich (6 assists), Deniz Undav (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 58 points from 32 games, Bayer Leverkusen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 66:43, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Schick (16 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (8 assists), A. Garcia (7 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 2 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:32 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
Home
|
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Away
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|