GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Sportclub Arena
Referee: F. Michel
Verl
Match Timeline
Havelse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Julius Düker
Havelse
🔄
41'
D. Waidner ↔ F. Wessig
Verl
🟨
42'
Dennis Duah
Havelse
44'
O. Mhamdi · Assist: B. Taz
Verl
45'
M. Worner · Assist: B. Taz
Verl
45'
J. Arweiler · Assist: M. Worner
Verl
🔄
46'
J. Rufidis ↔ N. Plume
Havelse
🔄
46'
C. Schepp ↔ M. Ilic
Havelse
🔄
46'
D. Duah ↔ R. Muller
Havelse
48'
O. Mhamdi · Assist: A. Mesanovic
Verl
🟨
65'
Besfort Kolgeci
Havelse
🔄
68'
J. Arweiler ↔ A. Japaur
Verl
🔄
68'
N. Kijewski ↔ M. Stocker
Verl
🔄
69'
Y. Otto ↔ J. Stark
Verl
🔄
78'
O. Mhamdi ↔ T. Knost
Verl
🔄
88'
L. Sommer ↔ T. Friedrich
Havelse
🔄
88'
L. Paldino ↔ T. Awoyale
Havelse

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Verl Win 80.2%
Draw 0%
Havelse Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Verl2.16
Havelse1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Verl Verl
WWDLW
75 GF / 47 GA
Havelse Havelse
WLDWL
53 GF / 77 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
25
BTTS Yes
27
26
Over 2.5
24
5.07
Shots on Goal
3.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Verl Verl 35 matches
Havelse Havelse 35 matches
Verl Statistic Havelse
16 Wins 8
10 Draws 8
9 Losses 19
75 Goals For 53
47 Goals Against 77
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
25 BTTS Yes 27
32 Over 1.5 34
26 Over 2.5 24
17 Over 3.5 18
8 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
5.07 Shots On Goal 3.21
13.97 Total Shots 9.48
5.86 Corners 3.66
61.4% Ball Possession 35.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Verl's more proactive style and Havelse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Verl expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Havelse in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Havelse having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Verl have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Verl arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 58 points compared to Havelse in 17 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Havelse.

Verl Analysis

Verl sit 6 with 58 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats with a 75:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Arweiler (15 goals), B. Taz (14 goals), A. Besio (11 goals), with creative support from B. Taz (16 assists), O. Mhamdi (8 assists), A. Besio (7 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Havelse Analysis

With 32 points from 35 games and a place of 17, Havelse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 53:77, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. X. Posselt (8 goals), L. Paldino (5 goals), M. Ilic (5 goals), with creative support from J. Duker (7 assists), Nassim Boujellab (4 assists), Robin Muller (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Verl won 3 times, Havelse won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Verl's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Verl 4-3-1-2 / Havelse 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Verl wins 3, draws 2, Havelse wins 0
Stats
Verl Verl
Havelse Havelse
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Verl
Formation
Havelse
P. Schulze
P. Schulze
O. Mhamdi
⚽ 2
O. Mhamdi
M. Ens
M. Ens
F. Otto
F. Otto
N. Kijewski
N. Kijewski
B. Taz
🎯
B. Taz
A. Mesanovic
🎯
A. Mesanovic
D. Waidner
D. Waidner
Y. Otto
Y. Otto
M. Worner
🎯
M. Worner
J. Arweiler
J. Arweiler
N. Quindt
N. Quindt
D. Duah
D. Duah
S. Belkahia
S. Belkahia
B. Kolgeci
B. Kolgeci
L. Sommer
L. Sommer
N. Boujellab
N. Boujellab
J. Rufidis
J. Rufidis
J. Duker
J. Duker
E. Aytun
E. Aytun
L. Paldino
L. Paldino
C. Schepp
C. Schepp
Verl 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Schulze
G
20
O. Mhamdi
⚽ 44' ⚽ 48' ↓ 78'
D
5
M. Ens
34
F. Otto
D
19
N. Kijewski
↓ 68'
D
10
B. Taz
🎯 44' 🎯 45'
M
17
A. Mesanovic
🎯 48'
M
8
D. Waidner
↓ 41'
M
28
Y. Otto
↓ 69'
M
11
M. Worner
⚽ 45' 🎯 45'
F
9
J. Arweiler
⚽ 45' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
32
F. Pekruhl
7
J. Stark
↑ 69'
M
13
A. Japaur
↑ 68'
F
18
F. Wessig
↑ 41'
M
21
T. Knost
↑ 78'
D
24
M. Stocker
↑ 68'
D
29
E. Bamba
M
Havelse 3-5-2
Starting XI
29
N. Quindt
15
D. Duah
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
D
6
S. Belkahia
D
4
B. Kolgeci
🟨 65'
D
22
L. Sommer
↓ 88'
19
N. Boujellab
M
28
J. Rufidis
↓ 46'
10
J. Duker
7
E. Aytun
D
9
L. Paldino
↓ 88'
F
20
C. Schepp
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Busse
G
35
A. Dlugaiczyk
21
I. Behrens
D
30
T. Friedrich
↑ 88'
D
24
N. Plume
↑ 46'
D
36
T. Awoyale
↑ 88'
M
14
M. Ilic
↑ 46'
F
23
R. Muller
↑ 46'
F
37
H. Ozdemir
M
Last matches: Verl
16.05.26
3.
Verl
TSV 1860 München
3
0
W
09.05.26
3.
Verl
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
25.04.26
3.
Verl
VfL Osnabrück
1
2
L
18.04.26
3.
Verl
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
12.04.26
3.
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
1
1
D
08.04.26
3.
Verl
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
Verl
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
21.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Saarbrücken
3
0
W
15.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
08.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
03.03.26
3.
Verl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
28.02.26
3.
Verl
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
21.02.26
3.
Verl
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Verl
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Verl
Kickers Emden
5
2
W
08.02.26
3.
Verl
MSV Duisburg
2
4
L
01.02.26
3.
Verl
Stuttgart II
4
0
W
25.01.26
3.
Verl
SV Wehen
1
2
L
17.01.26
3.
Verl
Waldhof Mannheim
5
2
W
08.01.26
Fri
Verl
Bonner SC
5
0
W
Last matches: Havelse
16.05.26
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
6
L
10.05.26
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
26.04.26
3.
Havelse
Stuttgart II
3
2
W
18.04.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
11.04.26
3.
Havelse
FC Saarbrücken
2
0
W
08.04.26
3.
Havelse
SV Wehen
4
1
W
04.04.26
3.
Havelse
Energie Cottbus
0
3
L
21.03.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
5
L
14.03.26
3.
Havelse
FC Viktoria Köln
3
2
W
08.03.26
3.
Havelse
Waldhof Mannheim
1
3
L
04.03.26
3.
Havelse
Hansa Rostock
1
3
L
01.03.26
3.
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Havelse
TSV 1860 München
0
5
L
07.02.26
3.
Havelse
VfL Osnabrück
0
2
L
30.01.26
3.
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
24.01.26
3.
Havelse
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
18.01.26
3.
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
4
0
W
21.12.25
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
1
D
14.12.25
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
H2H: Verl vs Havelse
02.05.26
H2H
Verl
Havelse
4
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Havelse
Verl
2
2
D
08.07.23
H2H
Havelse
Verl
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Havelse
Verl
1
3
W
18.10.21
H2H
Verl
Havelse
5
3
W
Last matches: Verl
16.05.26
3.
Verl
TSV 1860 München
3
0
W
18.04.26
3.
Verl
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
08.04.26
3.
Verl
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Saarbrücken
3
0
W
15.03.26
3.
Verl
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
03.03.26
3.
Verl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
14.02.26
3.
Verl
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Verl
Kickers Emden
5
2
W
01.02.26
3.
Verl
Stuttgart II
4
0
W
17.01.26
3.
Verl
Waldhof Mannheim
5
2
W
13.12.25
3.
Verl
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
0
D
30.11.25
3.
Verl
VfL Osnabrück
4
1
W
08.11.25
3.
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
1
1
D
25.10.25
3.
Verl
SSV Ulm 1846
5
0
W
01.10.25
3.
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
2
D
21.09.25
3.
Verl
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
16.09.25
3.
Verl
Alemannia Aachen
2
1
W
30.08.25
3.
Verl
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
09.08.25
3.
Verl
SV Wehen
2
2
D
H2H at home: Verl
02.05.26
H2H
Verl
Havelse
4
0
W
18.10.21
H2H
Verl
Havelse
5
3
W
Last matches: Havelse
16.05.26
3.
Havelse
Alemannia Aachen
1
6
L
18.04.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
08.04.26
3.
Havelse
SV Wehen
4
1
W
21.03.26
3.
Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
5
L
08.03.26
3.
Havelse
Waldhof Mannheim
1
3
L
01.03.26
3.
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
3
L
07.02.26
3.
Havelse
VfL Osnabrück
0
2
L
24.01.26
3.
Havelse
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
14.12.25
3.
Havelse
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
2
W
30.11.25
3.
Havelse
Stuttgart II
1
2
L
08.11.25
3.
Havelse
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
25.10.25
3.
Havelse
Energie Cottbus
3
4
L
04.10.25
3.
Havelse
FC Viktoria Köln
1
4
L
27.09.25
3.
Havelse
Hansa Rostock
1
1
D
14.09.25
3.
Havelse
TSV 1860 München
2
3
L
24.08.25
3.
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
1
2
L
02.08.25
3.
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
0
0
D
H2H away: Havelse
02.05.26
H2H
Verl
Havelse
4
0
L
18.10.21
H2H
Verl
Havelse
5
3
L

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl Home
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation