BRAZIL › SERIE A

31.05.2026 19:00

Vasco DA Gama

0 - 1

Atletico-MG

Estádio São Januário

Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil

Vasco DA Gama

Match Timeline

Atletico-MG

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 87.3%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 37.4%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 37.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	87.3%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	37.4%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	37.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Vasco DA Gama Win 44.6%

Draw 12.7%

Atletico-MG Win 42.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama1.31

Atletico-MG1.4

Recent Form (Last 5)

Vasco DA Gama

WWDLW

22 GF / 28 GA

Atletico-MG

WLDWL

21 GF / 23 GA

Key Stats

1.29

Average Goals Scored

1.24

1.65

Average Goals Conceded

1.35

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.35

Shots on Goal

4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasco DA Gama 17 matches

Atletico-MG 17 matches

Vasco DA Gama	Statistic	Atletico-MG
5	Wins	6
5	Draws	3
7	Losses	8
22	Goals For	21
28	Goals Against	23
1.29	Avg Goals Scored	1.24
1.65	Avg Goals Conceded	1.35
13	BTTS Yes	7
14	Over 1.5	11
11	Over 2.5	8
4	Over 3.5	6
1	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	7
5.35	Shots On Goal	4.47
17.29	Total Shots	13.82
5.47	Corners	4.94
54.2%	Ball Possession	48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)

Predicted formations: Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Vasco DA Gama 3, Atletico-MG 8

H2H summary: Vasco DA Gama wins 6, draws 3, Atletico-MG wins 6

Standings

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	33	64	W D W W W
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	30	63	W W D W D
3	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	11	51	L W W L W
4	Atletico Paranaense	29	14	8	7	45:34	11	50	D W D L D
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	8	49	W L L W W
6	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48	W W L W L
7	Atletico-MG Away	30	13	8	9	41:35	6	47	W D W D W
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	1	42	L D W W W
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39	W L L W L
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38	L L D L W
11	RB Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37	D L L D L
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36	L W L D W
13	Botafogo	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35	L L W D D
14	Vasco DA Gama Home	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35	D W W W L
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33	L D W D W
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32	L L L L L
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32	D W L W L
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31	D D D L L
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25	D D L L L
20	Chapecoense-sc	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18	L D L W L

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)

Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)

Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)

Relegation - Serie B