Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vaprus
16 matches
Trans Narva
18 matches
| Vaprus | Statistic | Trans Narva |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 30 | Goals For | 21 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.39 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trans Narva. Trans Narva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trans Narva having the stronger overall control.
Vaprus sit 8 with 10 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 11:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Valja (5 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), K. Aloe (1 goals), with creative support from M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Trans Narva sit 10 with 6 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 9:29 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Gero (4 goals), S. Agaptsev (2 goals), C. Campagna (1 goals), with creative support from A. Ivanyushin (2 assists), D. Poliakov (2 assists), S. Agaptsev (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 4 times, Trans Narva won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Vaprus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:15 | 15 | 31 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Vaprus
Home
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Trans Narva
Away
|
17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|