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--.--.---- --:--
V-varen Nagasaki
FT
2 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
Peace Stadium
Referee: M. Fu
V-varen Nagasaki
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
Y. Iwasaki · Assist: G. Hatano
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
34'
Y. Iwasaki ↔ T. Kasayanagi
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
37'
Noah Kenshin Browne
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
43'
Thiago · Assist: R. Yamada
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
N. Browne ↔ T. Yamane
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
K. Ichimi ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
D. Tagami ↔ H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
50'
Werik Popo · Assist: A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
62'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
R. Yamada ↔ H. Yamaguchi
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
Dudu Giusti ↔ K. Kushibiki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
Thiago ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
K. Takahata ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
72'
M. Matsumoto ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+1'
Motoki Hasegawa
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
90+4'
Lucão
Fagiano Okayama
VAR
90+3'
Lucão
Fagiano Okayama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 40.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
40.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
V-varen Nagasaki Win 30.1%
Draw 29.1%
Fagiano Okayama Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
V-varen Nagasaki1.2
Fagiano Okayama1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
5
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 15 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 15 matches
V-varen Nagasaki Statistic Fagiano Okayama
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 5
16 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.07
11.36 Total Shots 11.79
3.93 Corners 5.29
48.2% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from V-varen Nagasaki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.9%)
Predicted formations: V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: V-varen Nagasaki wins 5, draws 4, Fagiano Okayama wins 6
Stats
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
358 Total passes 371
221 Passes accurate 243
1.33 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

V-varen Nagasaki
Formation
Fagiano Okayama
G. Hatano
🎯
G. Hatano
H. Teruyama
H. Teruyama
Dudu Giusti
↓
Dudu Giusti
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
M. Sekiguchi
M. Sekiguchi
R. Yamada
🎯 ↓
R. Yamada
Diego Pituca
Diego Pituca
K. Takahata
↓
K. Takahata
M. Hasegawa
M. Hasegawa
Y. Iwasaki
⚽ ↓
Y. Iwasaki
Thiago
⚽ ↓
Thiago
L. Moser
L. Moser
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Tatsuta
D. Tagami
↓
D. Tagami
H. Omori
H. Omori
K. Shirai
K. Shirai
K. Ogura
K. Ogura
M. Matsumoto
↓
M. Matsumoto
N. Browne
↓
N. Browne
K. Ichimi
↓
K. Ichimi
A. Esaka
🎯
A. Esaka
Werik Popo
⚽ ↓
Werik Popo
V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
G. Hatano
🎯 19'
G
48
H. Teruyama
D
4
Dudu Giusti
↓ 72'
D
22
H. Onaga
D
3
M. Sekiguchi
M
24
R. Yamada
🎯 43' ↓ 64'
M
21
Diego Pituca
M
17
K. Takahata
↓ 72'
M
41
M. Hasegawa
🟨 90+1'
F
8
Y. Iwasaki
⚽ 19' ↓ 34'
F
9
Thiago
⚽ 43' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Goto
G
5
H. Yamaguchi
↑ 64'
M
25
K. Kushibiki
↑ 72'
D
18
R. Yamasaki
↑ 72'
F
10
Matheus Jesus
M
33
T. Kasayanagi
↑ 34'
M
23
S. Yoneda
↑ 72'
D
11
N. Campbell
M
34
T. Matsumoto
M
Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Moser
G
48
Y. Tatsuta
D
18
D. Tagami
↓ 46'
D
6
H. Omori
D
51
K. Shirai
M
5
K. Ogura
M
28
M. Matsumoto
↓ 72'
M
45
N. Browne
↓ 46' 🟨 37'
M
22
K. Ichimi
↓ 46'
F
8
A. Esaka
🎯 50'
F
98
Werik Popo
⚽ 50' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
52
T. Hamada
G
7
R. Takeuchi
M
99
Lucao
↑ 62' 🟨 90+4'
F
4
K. Abe
D
66
J. Nishikawa
↑ 72'
M
88
T. Yamane
↑ 46'
M
9
Leo Gaucho
↑ 46'
27
T. Kimura
M
26
H. Motoyama
↑ 46'
D
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
09.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
08.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
01.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H: V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
06.05.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
29.09.24
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
16.07.23
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
2
D
17.05.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
L
29.05.22
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
W
11.11.20
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
5
0
W
19.07.20
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
W
20.10.19
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
L
08.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
3
L
30.07.17
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
L
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
H2H at home: V-varen Nagasaki
06.05.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
17.05.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
29.05.22
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
11.11.20
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
5
0
W
08.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
3
L
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H away: Fagiano Okayama
06.05.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
17.05.23
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
29.05.22
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
W
11.11.20
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
5
0
L
08.06.19
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
3
W

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama Away
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki Home
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)