PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: D. Ureta
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
FC Cajamarca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Barcos
FC Cajamarca
VAR
32'
Brandon Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🟨
35'
Arquímedes Figuera
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
D. Dioses ↔ L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
D. Camacho ↔ M. Rasmussen
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
47'
Jefferson Orejuela
FC Cajamarca
47'
A. Munoz · Assist: M. Rasmussen
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
55'
C. Meza ↔ J. Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
67'
B. Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🔄
74'
↔ M. de Jesus
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
74'
D. Caro ↔ J. Nunez
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
75'
Carlos Gómez
FC Cajamarca
🔄
79'
B. Palacios ↔ E. Paucar
FC Cajamarca
🔄
79'
M. Arrasco ↔ S. Pineau
FC Cajamarca
🟨
84'
Alexis Rodas
FC Cajamarca
🔄
85'
L. Garro ↔ G. Paredes
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
87'
J. G. Orejuela ↔ A. Moyano
FC Cajamarca
🔄
87'
S. Enciso ↔ F. Ocas
FC Cajamarca
🟨
90+7'
Bruno Duarte
UTC Cajamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 100%
Draw 0%
FC Cajamarca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.51
FC Cajamarca1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
20 GF / 21 GA
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
4.77
Shots on Goal
2.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 15 matches
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 14 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic FC Cajamarca
5 Wins 3
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 8
20 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 25
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
9 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 6
4.77 Shots On Goal 2.69
12.38 Total Shots 7.92
4 Corners 2.69
49.1% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. UTC Cajamarca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 16 points compared to FC Cajamarca in 18 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Cajamarca.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

UTC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 16 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 18:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), D. Camacho (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (2 assists), A. Munoz (2 assists), M. Rasmussen (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 9 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 16:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Barcos (7 goals), B. Palacios (3 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (1 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 1 times, FC Cajamarca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 1, draws 0, FC Cajamarca wins 1
Stats
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
17 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
389 Total passes 243
314 Passes accurate 166
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

UTC Cajamarca
Formation
FC Cajamarca
I. Barrios
I. Barrios
L. Garro
L. Garro
P. Serra
P. Serra
B. Duarte
B. Duarte
D. Caro
D. Caro
D. Dioses
D. Dioses
A. Figuera
A. Figuera
D. Camacho
D. Camacho
M. Lliuya
M. Lliuya
A. Munoz
A. Munoz
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
S. Aspajo
S. Aspajo
C. Gomez
C. Gomez
A. Rodas
A. Rodas
M. Almiron
M. Almiron
R. Lagos
R. Lagos
J. G. Orejuela
J. G. Orejuela
M. Arrasco
M. Arrasco
C. Meza
C. Meza
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
S. Enciso
S. Enciso
H. Barcos
H. Barcos
UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
I. Barrios
G
17
L. Garro
↓ 85'
D
27
P. Serra
D
2
B. Duarte
🟨 90+7'
D
13
D. Caro
↓ 74'
D
8
D. Dioses
↓ 46'
M
16
A. Figuera
🟨 35'
M
22
D. Camacho
↓ 46'
M
10
M. Lliuya
M
19
A. Munoz
⚽ 47'
M
11
A. Arroyo
F
Substitutes
21
R. Bettocchi
9
M. de Jesus
↑ 74'
F
35
G. Paredes
↑ 85'
D
7
J. Nunez
↑ 74'
88
L. Arce
↑ 46'
M
15
J. Cantt
M
14
M. Rasmussen
🎯 47' ↑ 46'
F
6
F. Cavagna
D
3
M. Ganoza
D
FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
S. Aspajo
G
44
C. Gomez
14
A. Rodas
🟨 84'
D
22
M. Almiron
D
13
R. Lagos
D
18
J. G. Orejuela
↓ 87' 🟨 47'
M
11
M. Arrasco
↓ 79'
M
20
C. Meza
↓ 55'
M
17
B. Palacios
⚽ 67' ↓ 79'
M
31
S. Enciso
↓ 87'
M
9
H. Barcos
⚽ 24'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Mosquera
G
25
E. Paucar
↑ 79'
M
8
A. Moyano
↑ 87'
M
7
S. Pineau
↑ 79'
F
19
S. Peralta
27
J. Betancourt
↑ 55'
4
J. A. Rosell Delgado
D
29
F. Ocas
↑ 87'
F
30
J. C. Vega
D
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
2
3
L
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
13.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
3
2
W
30.01.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
H2H: UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca
26.06.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
3
1
W
08.05.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
H2H at home: UTC Cajamarca
26.06.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
3
1
W
08.05.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
24.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
H2H away: FC Cajamarca
26.06.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
3
1
L
08.05.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)