LITHUANIA A LYGA
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Marijampole Football Arena
Referee: D. Svegzda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.4%
1.28
BTTS Yes
78.3%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.6%
1.96
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Suduva Marijampole Win 44.9%
Draw 17.6%
TransINVEST Vilnius Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Suduva Marijampole1.46
TransINVEST Vilnius1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WWDLW
39 GF / 26 GA
TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius
WLDWL
54 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
2
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 25 matches
TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 27 matches
Suduva Marijampole Statistic TransINVEST Vilnius
12 Wins 13
9 Draws 5
4 Losses 9
39 Goals For 54
26 Goals Against 35
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Suduva Marijampole come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TransINVEST Vilnius having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors TransINVEST Vilnius.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 18 matches. With 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:16, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 28 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 27:22, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Suduva Marijampole won 4 times, TransINVEST Vilnius won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Suduva Marijampole's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Suduva Marijampole wins 4, draws 3, TransINVEST Vilnius wins 1
Last matches: Suduva Marijampole
29.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
2
1
W
21.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
W
16.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
2
1
W
13.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Banga
0
0
D
29.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Trakai
3
0
W
23.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Kauno Žalgiris
2
1
W
16.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Hegelmann Litauen
2
2
D
10.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
1
D
02.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
1
2
L
25.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
1
0
W
19.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Džiugas Telšiai
3
2
W
11.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Banga
1
2
L
03.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Trakai
5
0
W
21.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
14.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Hegelmann Litauen
0
0
D
10.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
1
L
07.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
0
W
01.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
0
0
D
22.02.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
0
0
D
Last matches: TransINVEST Vilnius
29.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
1
W
20.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
12.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
2
1
W
29.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
24.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
17.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
2
2
D
06.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
02.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
5
0
W
26.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
4
0
W
18.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
2
1
W
12.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
04.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
3
L
22.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
16.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
11.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
1
0
W
07.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
0
2
L
01.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
3
0
W
22.02.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Be1 NFA
4
0
W
H2H: Suduva Marijampole vs TransINVEST Vilnius
06.05.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
07.03.26
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
2
2
D
24.05.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
0
2
W
19.02.23
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
0
W
Last matches: Suduva Marijampole
16.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
2
1
W
13.06.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Banga
0
0
D
23.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Kauno Žalgiris
2
1
W
10.05.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
1
D
25.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
1
0
W
19.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Džiugas Telšiai
3
2
W
03.04.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
FK Trakai
5
0
W
14.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Hegelmann Litauen
0
0
D
07.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
0
W
01.03.26
A L
Suduva Marijampole
Šiauliai
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
5
3
W
07.02.26
Fri
Suduva Marijampole
Wigry Suwałki
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Suduva Marijampole
Be1 NFA
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Suduva Marijampole
Grobiņa
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Suduva Marijampole
Kauno Žalgiris
0
4
L
H2H at home: Suduva Marijampole
07.03.26
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
24.05.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
19.02.23
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
0
W
Last matches: TransINVEST Vilnius
29.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
1
W
12.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
2
1
W
24.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
10.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
2
2
D
02.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
5
0
W
26.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
4
0
W
18.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
2
1
W
04.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
3
L
16.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
07.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
4
L
04.02.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Ekranas
6
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
2
5
L
28.01.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
H2H away: TransINVEST Vilnius
07.03.26
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
24.05.24
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
W
19.02.23
H2H
Suduva Marijampole
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 3.20
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.58
Draw 2.18
Home 2.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.22
Over 3.0 2.68
Over 3.25 3.01
Under 1.75 3.01
Under 2.0 2.61
Under 2.25 2.10
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.20
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.10
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.40
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.97
Draw 3.10
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.00
Home 2.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.31
Draw 2.38
Home 2.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 2.75 2.16
Over 3.0 2.56
Over 3.25 2.91
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.55
Over 4.25 5.96
Over 4.5 6.35
Over 4.75 7.80
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.30
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.50
Under 1.5 3.28
Under 1.75 2.89
Under 2.0 2.49
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.61
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.15
Home 2.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 2.95
Over 4.5 5.30
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 8 6 5 28:22 6 30
D D L D W
2 18 7 8 3 21:16 5 29
W W W D W
3 17 8 4 5 27:22 5 28
W L W W L
4 18 7 7 4 31:15 16 28
D W L D L
5 19 8 4 7 27:21 6 28
W D L W W
6 18 7 6 5 19:13 6 27
W W W D D
7 19 3 10 6 20:29 -9 19
D L D D L
8 19 5 4 10 18:34 -16 19
D L W L L
9 19 2 7 10 18:37 -19 13
L L L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
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Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga