USA
Match Timeline
Paraguay
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
36.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
82.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
USA Win 30.6%
Draw 36.3%
Paraguay Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.17
Paraguay2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Paraguay
WLDWL
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
USA
4 matches
Paraguay
3 matches
| USA | Statistic | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 6 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 2.33 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 3.67 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 12.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, USA won 4 times, Paraguay won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from USA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69.4%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-2-3-1 / Paraguay 4-4-2
H2H summary: USA wins 4, draws 0, Paraguay wins 0
Stats
USA
Paraguay
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
USA
Formation
Paraguay
M. Freese
A. Freeman
C. Richards
T. Ream
A. Robinson
T. Adams
M. Tillman
S. Dest
W. McKennie
C. Pulisic
F. Balogun
O. Gill
J. Caceres
G. Gomez
O. Alderete
J. Alonso
D. Gomez
A. Cubas
D. Bobadilla
M. Almiron
A. Sanabria
J. Enciso
USA
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
M. Freese
G
16
A. Freeman
D
🎯 90'
3
C. Richards
D
13
T. Ream
D
5
A. Robinson
D
4
T. Adams
M
🟨 59'
17
M. Tillman
M
🎯 45'
↓ 82'
2
S. Dest
M
↓ 72'
8
W. McKennie
M
10
C. Pulisic
M
🎯 31'
↓ 46'
20
F. Balogun
F
⚽ 31'
⚽ 45'
↓ 72'
Substitutes
25
C. Brady
G
1
M. Turner
G
6
A. Trusty
D
9
R. Pepi
F
↑ 72'
7
G. Reyna
M
⚽ 90'
↑ 82'
14
S. Berhalter
M
↑ 46'
19
H. Wright
F
15
C. Roldan
M
26
A. Zendejas
F
21
T. Weah
F
↑ 72'
12
M. Robinson
D
11
B. Aaronson
M
22
M. McKenzie
D
23
J. Scally
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
Paraguay
4-4-2
Starting XI
12
O. Gill
G
4
J. Caceres
D
↓ 79'
🟨 10'
15
G. Gomez
D
3
O. Alderete
D
6
J. Alonso
D
🟨 90+3'
8
D. Gomez
M
↓ 80'
🟨 79'
14
A. Cubas
M
16
D. Bobadilla
M
⚽ 7'
↓ 46'
10
M. Almiron
M
↓ 79'
🟨 53'
9
A. Sanabria
F
↓ 62'
19
J. Enciso
F
🎯 73'
Substitutes
1
R. Fernandez
22
G. Olveira
G
2
G. Velazquez
D
↑ 79'
5
Fabian Balbuena
D
21
G. Avalos
F
24
G. Caballero
F
13
J. Canale
D
25
I. Pitta
F
23
M. Galarza
M
11
Mauricio
M
⚽ 73'
↑ 46'
7
R. Sosa
F
↑ 79'
17
Kaku
M
↑ 80'
18
A. Arce
F
↑ 62'
🟨 88'
20
B. Ojeda
M
26
A. Maidana
D
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Paraguay
29.06.26
Wor
Paraguay
Germany
1
1
D
26.06.26
Wor
Paraguay
Australia
0
0
D
20.06.26
Wor
Paraguay
Türkiye
1
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Paraguay
Nicaragua
4
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Morocco
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Greece
1
0
W
H2H: USA vs Paraguay
13.06.26
H2H
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
13.06.26
H2H
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
Last matches: Paraguay
29.06.26
Wor
Paraguay
Germany
1
1
D
20.06.26
Wor
Paraguay
Türkiye
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Morocco
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Greece
1
0
W
H2H away: Paraguay
13.06.26
H2H
USA
Paraguay
4
1
L
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
L
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
L
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
L