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WORLD › WORLD CUP
13.06.2026 01:00
SoFi Stadium
Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
USA
Match Timeline
Paraguay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
D. Bobadilla
USA
🟨
10'
Juan Cáceres
Paraguay
⚽
31'
F. Balogun · Assist: C. Pulisic
USA
⚽
45'
F. Balogun · Assist: M. Tillman
USA
🔄
46'
C. Pulisic ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
46'
D. Bobadilla ↔ Mauricio
Paraguay
🟨
53'
Miguel Almirón
Paraguay
🟨
59'
Tyler Adams
USA
🔄
62'
A. Sanabria ↔ A. Arce
Paraguay
🔄
72'
F. Balogun ↔ R. Pepi
USA
🔄
72'
S. Dest ↔ T. Weah
USA
⚽
73'
Mauricio · Assist: J. Enciso
Paraguay
🟨
79'
Diego Gómez
Paraguay
🔄
79'
J. Caceres ↔ G. Velazquez
Paraguay
🔄
79'
M. Almiron ↔ R. Sosa
Paraguay
🔄
80'
D. Gomez ↔ Kaku
Paraguay
🔄
82'
M. Tillman ↔ G. Reyna
USA
🟨
88'
Alex Arce
Paraguay
🟨
90+3'
Junior Alonso
Paraguay
⚽
90'
G. Reyna · Assist: A. Freeman
USA

USA vs Paraguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 36.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
36.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
82.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
USA Win 30.6%
Draw 36.3%
Paraguay Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.17
Paraguay2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Paraguay Paraguay
WLDWL
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 4 matches
Paraguay Paraguay 3 matches
USA Statistic Paraguay
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
6 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.33
12 Total Shots 3.67
5 Corners 1
47% Ball Possession 12.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, USA won 4 times, Paraguay won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from USA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69.4%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-2-3-1 / Paraguay 4-4-2
H2H summary: USA wins 4, draws 0, Paraguay wins 0

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
L W L W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
L W D W L
4 3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32