Login Register
UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
28.04.2026 17:00
Hamz Stadium
URA
Match Timeline
Maroons
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
I. Mayanja
Maroons
⚽
27'
B. Bunyaga
URA
⚽
60'
D. Ojok
Maroons
⚽
70'
F. Amaku
URA

URA vs Maroons Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
42.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT 2-2
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
URA Win 50.8%
Draw 10.3%
Maroons Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
URA0.78
Maroons0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
URA URA
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Maroons Maroons
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

URA URA 25 matches
Maroons Maroons 25 matches
URA Statistic Maroons
4 Wins 8
12 Draws 9
9 Losses 8
20 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 19
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
9 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Maroons's more proactive style and URA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. URA have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maroons having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Maroons. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

URA Analysis

URA approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 24 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 20:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Living (5 goals), F. Amaku (3 goals), M. Aliro (3 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maroons Analysis

So far, Maroons have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 33 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 23:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Asaba (4 goals), I. Mayanja (4 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, URA won 4 times, Maroons won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from URA's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
H2H summary: URA wins 4, draws 7, Maroons wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11
URA Home
30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League