Cuiaba vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Cuiaba
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cuiaba
31 matches
Avai
31 matches
| Cuiaba | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 13 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 17 |
| 32 | Goals For | 30 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.16 |
| 13.42 | Total Shots | 11.06 |
| 5.23 | Corners | 3.77 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cuiaba's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Avai arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Avai in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control.
So far, Cuiaba have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 46 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kauan (5 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 30 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats with a 30:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (5 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (5 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Avai won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Cuiaba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Cuiaba
Home
|
31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Away
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|