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ROMANIA › LIGA I
19.09.2026 17:30
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic, Romania
Universitatea Craiova
Match Timeline
FCSB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
42'
D. Dragus ↔ A. Boutoutaou
FCSB
⚽
45'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: M. Etim
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
R. Labonne ↔ V. Cretu
FCSB
🔄
46'
O. Arad ↔ Joao Paulo
FCSB
⚽
57'
A. Cicaldau · Assist: N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
62'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Elisor
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
64'
A. Garita ↔ A. Stoian
FCSB
🔄
65'
M. Etim ↔ S. Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
69'
S. Elisor · Assist: S. Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
71'
J. Cisotti ↔ M. Toma
FCSB
🟨
80'
João Paulo
FCSB
🔄
83'
D. Matei ↔ L. Basceanu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
84'
A. Cicaldau ↔ J. Lameira
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
84'
N. Bancu ↔ Heriberto Tavares
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
87'
S. Elisor · Assist: L. Basceanu
Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
1.76 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Universitatea Craiova Win 65.9%
Draw 11.4%
FCSB Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitatea Craiova1.85
FCSB1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WWDLW
38 GF / 24 GA
FCSB FCSB
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
12
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
4.41
Shots on Goal
5.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 21 matches
FCSB FCSB 13 matches
Universitatea Craiova Statistic FCSB
10 Wins 3
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 7
38 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 25
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.41 Shots On Goal 5.36
9.76 Total Shots 14.73
3.71 Corners 5.64
42.9% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. FCSB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FCSB.

Universitatea Craiova Analysis

Universitatea Craiova arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 14 points after 8 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 18:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Etim (2 goals), S. Nsimba (2 goals), A. Al Hamlawi (2 goals), with creative support from T. Băluță (3 assists), M. Etim (1 assists), N. Bancu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FCSB Analysis

FCSB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 11 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 11:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on João Paulo (2 goals), Daniel Bîrligea (2 goals), D. Miculescu (1 goals), with creative support from J. Cisotti (2 assists), D. Miculescu (1 assists), Octavian Popescu (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitatea Craiova won 3 times, FCSB won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Universitatea Craiova's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3 / FCSB 3-4-3
H2H summary: Universitatea Craiova wins 3, draws 5, FCSB wins 7

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 10 6 1 3 13:12 1 19
W D W W L
5 9 5 0 4 14:13 1 15
W W L L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 10 3 4 3 11:9 2 13
W L L D D
8 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
9 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
11
FCSB Away
10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
12 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
13 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
14 10 2 4 4 11:15 -4 10
L L L D W
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 10 0 1 9 6:23 -17 1
L L L L L
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