Login Register
ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
22.08.2026 19:00
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: Russell Macario Teran Leon, Ecuador
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
Manta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
M. Alonso · Assist: E. Clavijo
Universidad Catolica
🟨
24'
Glendys Mina
Manta FC
🟨
29'
Carlos Medina
Universidad Catolica
⚽
30'
J. Alman · Assist: J. Troya
Manta FC
⚽
44'
J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
⚽
45'
D. Nazareno
Universidad Catolica
🟨
51'
Juan Jimenez
Manta FC
⚽
54'
M. Alonso · Assist: J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
⚽
59'
M. Diaz · Assist: M. Alonso
Universidad Catolica
🔄
60'
J. Verges ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
60'
G. Mina ↔ J. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
60'
J. Jimenez ↔ W. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
63'
M. Alonso ↔ J. Mina
Universidad Catolica
🔄
63'
F. Martinez ↔ J. Cacciabue
Universidad Catolica
🔄
63'
M. Diaz ↔ A. Rodriguez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
72'
J. Angulo ↔ J. Mina
Manta FC
🔄
72'
J. Alman ↔ J. Blanco
Manta FC
🔄
77'
J. Fajardo ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
77'
A. Londono ↔ J. Evans
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad Catolica Win 83%
Draw 4.5%
Manta FC Win 12.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad Catolica1.48
Manta FC0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WWDLW
45 GF / 29 GA
Manta FC Manta FC
WLDWL
11 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
0.44
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
14
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
6
4.63
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 28 matches
Manta FC Manta FC 25 matches
Universidad Catolica Statistic Manta FC
12 Wins 4
7 Draws 5
9 Losses 16
45 Goals For 11
29 Goals Against 32
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.44
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
14 BTTS Yes 7
20 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 16
4.63 Shots On Goal 2.8
14 Total Shots 9.92
4.63 Corners 4.52
58.6% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Manta FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 39 points compared to Manta FC in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Manta FC. Manta FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 39 points after 24 matches. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by José Fajardo (7 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), José Fajardo (2 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 17 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats with a 11:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on José Angulo (3 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (2 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (2 assists), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 assists), Jostin Alman (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 6 times, Manta FC won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Manta FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 6, draws 2, Manta FC wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)