CHILE PRIMERA B
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Estadio Municipal de San Felipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.2%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 34.8%
Draw 6%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 59.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe1.11
Deportes Santa Cruz1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
21 GF / 43 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
37 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 26 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 28 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
13 Losses 12
21 Goals For 37
43 Goals Against 44
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 21
10 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 5
12 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportes Santa Cruz. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 15:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 7 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 7, draws 5, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 3
Last matches: Union San Felipe
16.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
1
L
13.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
0
D
05.08.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
1
5
L
25.07.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportes Santa Cruz
22.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
0
1
L
17.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Luis
0
2
L
14.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
2
1
W
08.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
2
4
L
11.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
2
3
L
05.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
2
1
W
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
0
0
D
19.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Antofagasta
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Temuco
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Recoleta
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique
2
2
D
27.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
2
2
D
29.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Luis
2
3
L
H2H: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz
19.04.26
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
1
3
W
12.10.25
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
01.06.25
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
03.08.24
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
0
2
W
10.09.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
0
2
W
10.10.22
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
4
0
L
12.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
1
W
28.09.21
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
0
1
W
25.05.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
W
04.11.20
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
2
1
L
17.03.20
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
13.10.19
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
0
W
17.03.19
H2H
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe
2
0
L
Last matches: Union San Felipe
16.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
0
D
05.08.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
1
D
01.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
2
1
W
06.04.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
23.03.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Colo Colo
0
1
L
16.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
09.04.23
Cop
Union San Felipe
San Luis
1
1
D
18.06.22
Cop
Union San Felipe
U. Catolica
1
3
L
20.07.19
Cop
Union San Felipe
A. Italiano
0
1
L
09.06.19
Cop
Union San Felipe
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
H2H at home: Union San Felipe
12.10.25
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
03.08.24
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
10.09.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
12.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
1
W
25.05.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
W
17.03.20
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
13.10.19
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
0
W
Last matches: Deportes Santa Cruz
22.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
0
1
L
14.08.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Cobreloa
2
4
L
11.07.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Palestino
2
3
L
19.06.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Antofagasta
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Recoleta
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Luis
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pri
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Deportes Santa Cruz
Colchagua
2
1
W
06.02.26
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
2
1
W
11.05.25
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
05.04.25
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Curico Unido
0
0
D
08.02.25
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Nublense
2
2
D
13.07.24
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
Colo Colo
0
1
L
30.06.24
Cop
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
2
0
W
H2H away: Deportes Santa Cruz
12.10.25
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
03.08.24
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
10.09.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
12.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
1
L
25.05.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
L
17.03.20
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
13.10.19
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
0
L

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 21 10 5 6 37:35 2 35
W W D W W
4 21 10 4 7 29:27 2 34
W W W L L
5 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
6 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
7 21 9 4 8 22:24 -2 31
L D L D W
8 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
9 21 8 6 7 32:31 1 30
W D W D L
10 21 8 6 7 31:31 0 30
L W L D W
11 21 5 10 6 31:26 5 25
W D W D D
12 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 21 3 7 11 24:37 -13 16
L L W D L
16 21 1 6 14 18:37 -19 9
W L L D D