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TURKEY › 1. LIG
14.10.2026 14:00

Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
88.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ümraniyespor Win 48.8%
Draw 39.5%
Boluspor Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ümraniyespor1.49
Boluspor0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WWDLW
7 GF / 14 GA
Boluspor Boluspor
WLDWL
3 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.56
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
5
4.13
Shots on Goal
2.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 9 matches
Boluspor Boluspor 9 matches
Ümraniyespor Statistic Boluspor
1 Wins 0
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 8
7 Goals For 3
14 Goals Against 23
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.56
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 6
4.13 Shots On Goal 2.38
11.38 Total Shots 9.25
4.25 Corners 1.88
47.6% Ball Possession 38.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ümraniyespor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 6 points compared to Boluspor in 20 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Boluspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boluspor having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boluspor.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

Ümraniyespor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 6 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melih Bostan (1 goals), Álex Blanco (1 goals), Cebio Soukou (1 goals), with creative support from Cihan Topaloğlu (1 assists), Serkan Göksu (1 assists), Muhammet Tunahan Taşçı (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boluspor Analysis

Boluspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 1 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 3:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Rodrigo Rivas González (1 goals), Bartu Göçmen (1 goals), Furkan Kaçmaz (1 goals), with creative support from Muhammed Mert (1 assists), Bertu Özyürek (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 7 times, Boluspor won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Ümraniyespor 4-3-3 / Boluspor 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Ümraniyespor wins 7, draws 2, Boluspor wins 6

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation