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06.05.2026 00:00
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: G. A. Vargas Carreno
UCV
Match Timeline
Independiente del Valle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Granko ↔ V. Rodriguez
UCV
🟨
50'
J. Bolivar
UCV
⚽
54'
J. Zapata
UCV
🔄
65'
M. Perello ↔ E. Pata
Independiente del Valle
⚽
67'
J. Cuesta · Assist: A. Gonzalez
UCV
🔄
70'
R. Briones ↔ J. Lerma
Independiente del Valle
🟨
73'
L. Loor
Independiente del Valle
🔄
80'
J. Cuesta ↔ S. Sosa
UCV
🔄
80'
J. Bolivar ↔ Y. Murillo
UCV
🔄
80'
A. Rodriguez ↔ D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
80'
J. Viacava ↔ J. Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🟨
87'
J. Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🔄
87'
J. Zapata ↔ R. Ramirez
UCV
🔄
87'
D. Carrillo ↔ Y. Cumana
UCV

UCV vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
28.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 30.8%
Draw 5.6%
Independiente del Valle Win 63.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.43
Independiente del Valle1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
31 GF / 31 GA
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 19 matches
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 16 matches
UCV Statistic Independiente del Valle
8 Wins 11
4 Draws 2
7 Losses 3
31 Goals For 29
31 Goals Against 18
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 5.6
13.67 Total Shots 18.13
2 Corners 6.33
38.7% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 1 times, Independiente del Valle won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from UCV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: UCV wins 1, draws 0, Independiente del Valle wins 1

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W L W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:1 8 13
L W W W W
3
UCV Home
6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
W L W L L
4 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals