BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Uberlandia
Match Timeline
Rio Branco ES
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
Breninho
Rio Branco ES
50'
Kayke
Uberlandia
60'
Geovane
Rio Branco ES
62'
Tomas Bastos
Uberlandia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uberlandia Win 47.8%
Draw 22.6%
Rio Branco ES Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uberlandia1.27
Rio Branco ES1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uberlandia Uberlandia
WWDLW
14 GF / 8 GA
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.27
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uberlandia Uberlandia 11 matches
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 11 matches
Uberlandia Statistic Rio Branco ES
6 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
14 Goals For 14
8 Goals Against 14
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rio Branco ES. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rio Branco ES having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Uberlandia Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Uberlandia arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 18 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Tomas Bastos (4 goals), Kayke (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Rio Branco ES Analysis

Rio Branco ES come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Breninho (3 goals), Victor Braga (3 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Uberlandia won 3 times, Rio Branco ES won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Uberlandia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
H2H summary: Uberlandia wins 3, draws 1, Rio Branco ES wins 0
Last matches: Uberlandia
15.08.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CSA
2
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CSA
1
0
W
25.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
21.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
H2H: Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
21.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
W
28.08.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
W
12.06.21
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
Last matches: Uberlandia
08.08.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CSA
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
28.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
4
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
2
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
1
D
H2H at home: Uberlandia
27.06.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
12.06.21
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
3
2
W
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
0
1
L
17.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
1
2
L
19.04.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
0
2
L
H2H away: Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
12.06.21
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
3
2
L