Tromso vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Tromso
Aalesund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tromso
16 matches
Aalesund
16 matches
| Tromso | Statistic | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 26 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 5.82 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tromso's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aalesund. Tromso arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Aalesund in 15 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 2 with 23 points from 11 outings, Tromso continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hjerto-Dahl (5 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (5 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Tromso won 3 times, Aalesund won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Tromso's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.09 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Tromso
Home
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Aalesund
Away
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|