SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
11.10.2026 14:00
Gavlevallen

Gefle IF vs Piteå Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gefle IF Win 49.3%
Draw 21.3%
Piteå Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gefle IF1.64
Piteå1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WWDLW
53 GF / 59 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
42 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
17
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gefle IF Gefle IF 34 matches
Piteå Piteå 32 matches
Gefle IF Statistic Piteå
13 Wins 9
3 Draws 8
18 Losses 15
53 Goals For 42
59 Goals Against 56
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
17 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 28
22 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 4
13 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Piteå. Gefle IF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gefle IF Analysis

With 30 points from 25 games and a place of 10, Gefle IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 29:43 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 30:46 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Gefle IF won 3 times, Piteå won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Gefle IF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
H2H summary: Gefle IF wins 3, draws 1, Piteå wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W