ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: K. Kaivoja
Trans Narva
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
N. Ivanov · Assist: D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
34'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
39'
O. Musolitin · Assist: K. Kask
Kalju Nomme
🟨
45'
D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
46'
S. Kondrattsev ↔ Eriks Santos
Trans Narva
🔄
46'
V. Kudriashov ↔ S. Burjanadze
Trans Narva
🟨
51'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
🟥
51'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
🔄
56'
D. Poliakov ↔ A. Jegorov
Trans Narva
🔄
56'
Elysee ↔ N. Baljabkin
Trans Narva
🔄
63'
D. Sotsugov ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
63'
K. Kask ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🟨
69'
S. Burjanadze
Trans Narva
🔄
69'
A. Skinjov ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🔄
72'
O. Musolitin ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🟨
74'
U. Korre
Kalju Nomme
🔄
81'
M. Mannilaan ↔ E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🔄
81'
D. Tarassenkov ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
85'
T. Baptista · Assist: I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
31.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 33.2%
Draw 13.4%
Kalju Nomme Win 53.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva1.12
Kalju Nomme2.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
21 GF / 40 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
39 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
2.17
2.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
11
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 17 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 18 matches
Trans Narva Statistic Kalju Nomme
3 Wins 10
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 4
21 Goals For 39
40 Goals Against 17
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
2.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
11 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trans Narva have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Kalju Nomme carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 19 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kalju Nomme.

Trans Narva Analysis

With 6 points from 9 games and a place of 10, Trans Narva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 9:26, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Gero (4 goals), S. Agaptsev (2 goals), C. Campagna (1 goals), with creative support from A. Ivanyushin (2 assists), D. Poliakov (2 assists), S. Agaptsev (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 19 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 19:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Mannilaan (5 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), N. Ivanov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (3 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 4 times, Kalju Nomme won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from Trans Narva's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 4, draws 3, Kalju Nomme wins 8

Lineups

Trans Narva
Formation
Kalju Nomme
D. Pareiko
D. Pareiko
A. Skinjov
A. Skinjov
C. Campagna
C. Campagna
S. Kondrattsev
S. Kondrattsev
A. Ivanyushin
A. Ivanyushin
Elysee
Elysee
G. Slein
G. Slein
J. Doke
J. Doke
D. Poliakov
D. Poliakov
V. Kudriashov
V. Kudriashov
A. Gero
A. Gero
H. Perk
H. Perk
D. Mashchenko
D. Mashchenko
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
U. Korre
U. Korre
K. Kask
🎯
K. Kask
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
R. Siht
R. Siht
D. Sotsugov
🎯
D. Sotsugov
N. Ivanov
N. Ivanov
D. Tarassenkov
D. Tarassenkov
M. Mannilaan
M. Mannilaan
Trans Narva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
D. Pareiko
17
A. Skinjov
↓ 69'
5
C. Campagna
16
S. Kondrattsev
↓ 46'
4
A. Ivanyushin
19
Elysee
↓ 56'
6
G. Slein
9
J. Doke
🟨 34' 🟨 51' 🟥 51'
39
D. Poliakov
↓ 56'
29
V. Kudriashov
↓ 46'
10
A. Gero
Substitutes
31
I. Rebrik
1
M. Zahharov
2
V. Shantenkov
12
Eriks Santos
↑ 46'
23
A. Jegorov
↑ 56'
25
S. Burjanadze
↑ 46' 🟨 69'
28
K. Miranda da Silva
30
A. Timoska
47
N. Baljabkin
↑ 56'
70
J. Imeh
88
A. Besigirskis
↑ 69'
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
78
D. Mashchenko
20
M. Tambedou
5
U. Korre
🟨 74'
6
K. Kask
🎯 39' ↓ 63'
8
O. Musolitin
⚽ 39' ↓ 72'
26
R. Siht
88
D. Sotsugov
🎯 30' ↓ 63'
10
N. Ivanov
⚽ 30'
7
D. Tarassenkov
↓ 81' 🟨 45'
27
M. Mannilaan
↓ 81'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
9
G. Chinemeren
11
M. Orlov
↑ 63'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
↑ 81'
21
T. Baptista
⚽ 85' ↑ 63'
22
A. Nikolajev
↑ 72'
24
A. Iljin
30
I. Jabir
🎯 85' ↑ 81'
46
R. Vukusic
74
F. Jekimov
Last matches: Trans Narva
21.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
H2H: Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
03.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
L
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
17.08.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
1
2
W
15.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
29.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
0
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
2
D
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
L
13.01.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
05.08.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
4
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
Last matches: Trans Narva
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Paide
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
3
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tammeka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Trans Narva
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
20.05.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
5
3
W
23.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Maardu
5
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Viimsi
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
0
W
H2H away: Kalju Nomme
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
W
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L
20.05.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga